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  • EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

    EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

    EUR/USD rebounded to 1.1879 last week but retest this then. Initial bias is neutral this week first. At this point, we're slightly favoring the case that pull back from 1.2091 has completed at 1.1669, ahead of 1.1661 support. Above 1.1879 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.2091 high. However, break of 1.1787 will dampen this view. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside through 1.1669 low. Correction from 1.2091 would then extend to 38.2% retracement of 1.0569 to 1.2091 at 1.1510 and completes...
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  • USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

    USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

    USD/JPY's decline last week indicates short term topping at 113.43. That was on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, after failing to sustain above medium term falling trend line. The development argues that rebound from 107.31 could have completed already. And fall from 113.43 might be another leg of medium term correction from 118.65. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 55 day EMA (now at 111.37) first. Sustained break will target 107.31 low and below. In that case, we'd expect strong support...
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  • GBP/USD Weekly Outlook

    GBP/USD Weekly Outlook

    GBP/USD's strong rebound last week suggests that pull back from 1.3651 should have finished at 1.3026. Further rise is in favor this week for 1.3651 resistance first. Break there will resume medium term rise from 1.1946 and target 1.3835 key resistance next. On the downside, below 1.3120 minor support will resume the fall from 1.3651 through 1.3026 instead. In the bigger picture, while the medium term rebound from 1.1946 was strong, GBP/USD hit strong resistance from the long term falling trend line. Outlook is tu...
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  • USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

    USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

    USD/CHF stayed in range of 0.9704/9825 last week as dollar lost momentum. Initial bias is neutral this week first, with focus on 0.9704 resistance turned support. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9704 will argue that rebound from 0.9420 has completed. This will also mixed up the near term outlook and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9587 support. On the upside, break of 0.9835 will extend the rebound to 61.8% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9420 at 0.9990. In the bigge...
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  • AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

    AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

    AUD/USD edged lower to 0.7797 last week but rebounded since the. The development indicates short term bottoming on bullish convergence condition is 4 hour MACD. Initial bias is mildly on the upside this week for retesting 0.8124 high. But we'd be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside and bring another fall to extend the corrective pattern. On the downside, break of 0.7732 will target medium term fibonacci level at 0.7628 first. In the bigger picture, rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is se...
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  • EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

    EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

    EUR/CHF recovered further to 1.1565 last week but lost momentum since then. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Overall, price actions from 1.1622 are developing into corrective pattern. In case of another rise, upside will be limited by 1.1622 to bring another fall to extend the pattern. On the downside below 1.1497 minor support will likely start the third leg through 1.1387 support. But in that case, strong support in expect at 1.1257 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0652 to 1.1622 at 1.1251)...
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  • EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

    EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

    Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1811; (P) 1.1845 (R1) 1.1864; More... Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. Another rally is mildly in favor as long as 1.1787 minor support holds. As noted before, pull back from 1.2091 should have completed at 1.1669, ahead of 1.1661 support. Above 1.1879 will target a test on 1.2091 high. Nonetheless, break of 1.1787 will likely extend the corrective fall from 1.2091 through 1.1669 instead. In the bigger picture, rise from medium term bottom at 1.0339 is not finished ye...
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  • GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

    GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

    Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3160; (P) 1.3225; (R1) 1.3329; More.... Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside for the moment. Pull back from 1.3651 should have finished at 1.3026. Further rise would be seen to retest 1.3651 high. Decisive break there will resume whole medium term rally from 1.1946 and target 1.3835 key resistance next. On the downside, below 1.3120 minor support will resume the fall from 1.3651 through 1.3026 instead. In the bigger picture, while the medium term rebound from 1.1946 was strong, GBP...
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  • USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

    USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

    Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9722; (P) 0.9742; (R1) 0.9774; More.... At this point, USD/CHF is still staying above 0.9704 resistance turned support and intraday bias remains neutral first. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9704 will argue that rebound from 0.9420 has completed. This will also mixed up the near term outlook and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9587 support. Meanwhile, break of 0.9835 temporary top will extend the rebound to 61.8% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9420 at 0....
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  • USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

    USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

    Daily Pivots: (S1) 112.10; (P) 112.31; (R1) 112.49; More... USD/JPY's fall from 113.43 short term top extends in early US session and intraday bias remains on the downside. Deeper decline would be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 111.35) first. On the upside, above 112.57 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stays on the downside as long as 113.43 resistance holds. In the bigger picture, rise from 98.97 (2016 low) is seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 125.85 (201...
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