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Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for March 26 - 30, 2018

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  • Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for March 26 - 30, 2018

    First, a review of last week’s forecast:

    • EUR/USD has been in a sideways trend for the whole of March, with a slight predominance of bearish trends. This is exactly the kind of movement that was forecasted last week. Pressed by the bears, the pair tried to reach support at 1.2200, but failed even this, and fixed the local bottom at 1.2239. After that, the pair turned around and completed the trading session in the 2018 Pivot Point zone, at 1.2350;
    • GBP/USD. At the time of writing the previous forecast, the indicators on D1 pointed to the north, believing that both the two-week uptrend and the more global one, which began in January 2017, would continue. This scenario was supported by 40% of experts as well, referring to the height of 1.4145. This forecast turned out to be correct, and at the very beginning of the five-day period the pair went up sharply. Basing on information from the Bank of England on Thursday, March 22, it even tried to break through resistance 1.4145, but failed to gain a foothold above this level, and rolled back very soon. As for the end of the week, the pair spent it making fluctuations around the same level of 1.4145;
    • 70% of experts, graphical analysis on D1 and 90% of indicators on H4 and D1 expected the continuation of the USD/JPY movement in the medium-term channel. This was what happened - it dropped to the level of 104.63 on Friday, after which there was a slight retreat, and the pair met Saturday at the level of 104.75;
    • Now, cryptocurrencies. As for bitcoin, the experts expected its rise to 8,850-9,400, and by the middle of the week the pair BTC/USD fulfilled the above task, reaching the level of 9,145.
      For the pair LTC/USD, a rise to the zone of 170.00-181.00 was forecasted. However, after its fall on Saturday and Sunday, it seemed to be impossible. But the bulls managed to regain strength and managed to raise the pair to a height of 174.00 on Wednesday. Similar dynamics was demonstrated by the Ripple, having risen to the set level of 0.70, but still failing to gain a foothold above it.
      But the Ethereum did not please the experts who expected its growth to the level of 655.00. In reality, it was only able to reach 587.00.



    As for the forecast for the coming week, summarizing the opinions of a number of analysts, as well as forecasts made on the basis of a variety of methods of technical and graphical analysis, we can say the following:
    • 60% of analysts expect the pair EUR/USD to rise to the level of 1.2415, and then even higher - to the height of 1.2445. The next target is 1.2520. Graphical analysis on D1, 100% of trend indicators and 85% of oscillators on H4 agree with this forecast.
      As for most of the indicators on D1, they have taken a neutral position. This time, 40% of experts and 15% of oscillators side with the bears, giving signals that the pair is overbought. The support levels are 1.2240, 1.2200 and 1.2155;
    • GBP/USD. Most analysts (60%) still forecast a decline of the pair first to 1.4115, and in case of its breakdown, even lower - to 1.4080. However, only 5% of the indicators agree with this development. The remaining 95 percent, supported by 40% of analysts, have sided with the bulls, expecting the continuation of the uptrend. The nearest resistance levels are 1.4215 and 1.4275, the final target is January 2018 high, at 1.4345;
    • Opinions on the future of the USD/JPY looks almost the same as last week: 70% of experts, 90% of indicators on H4 and D1, look to the south, expecting the pair to continue moving in the medium-term down channel. The targets are 104.00 and 102.65.
      At the same time, graphical analysis on D1 warns that, before continuing to fall, the pair may rise to 105.70-106.30 for a while, and possibly even higher - to 107.00. 10% of oscillators, giving signals that the pair is oversold, expect correction as well;

    • The forecast for the basic currency pairs looks as follows.
      BTC/USD - Experts expect the continuation of the uptrend. Targets that the pair can reach by the middle of the week, are 9,870 and 10,080. At the same time, it is possible that the bullish impulse will be stronger, and it will rise to the zone 11,500-11,750. At the end of the week, there may be a change of trend and a relatively small decline;
      Similar dynamics are expected for other pairs. ETH/USD: targets are 740.00 and 866.00. LTC/USD: 193.40 and 217.30. XRP/USD: 0.670, 0.730 and 0.890.

    We would like to stress at this point that even minor events can influence the trends and volatility of cryptocurrencies. Therefore, we strongly suggest that you pay attention to smart money management, which, combined with leverage of 1:1000, will significantly reduce your trading risks. After all, to buy 10 Bitcoins, 100 Ethereums, 500 Litecoins or 100,000 Ripples, with such leverage you will only need $100, and you can keep the rest of your money in reserve.

  • #2
    Nice to meet you.

    Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for May 21 - 25, 2018

    First, a review of last week’s forecast:
    • EUR/USD. Recall that about 70% of experts expected that the pair would rise at least to the height of 1.2050. However, the bulls' strength dried up before it approached the level of 1.2000, where the initiative was intercepted by the bears. Trend indicators on D1 and 15% of the oscillators sided with them, giving signals that the pair was overbought. As expected, the pair was quick to reach the horizon 1.1800, and then moved further down, having touched the local bottom at the level of 1.1750;
    • GBP/USD. This pair moves in a fairly narrow side corridor for the second week in a row. Most analysts (60%) voted for its growth last week. But, having gone 65 points to the north, the pair turned around and, as was expected by the remaining 40% of experts, dropped to the support of 1.3450, near which it met the end of the session, having lost only 75 points during the week;
    • 70% of experts predicted that the pair USD/JPY would rise to 110.00 by the end of May. But it was much ahead of expectations, having reached this level of resistance already on Tuesday, May 15. After that, turning it into a support, the pair went another 100 points higher. Then it lost 25 points and finished the five-day period at the level of 110.75;
    • Cryptocurrencies. Some analysts believed that the BTC/USD pair should return to the borders of the three-week side corridor 8,620-9,955, and on May 14 it reached the level of 8,850. However, it didn't manage to gain a foothold at this level, and soon the pair retreated to the values of the beginning of the week in the zone 8,000. In general, the week was quite calm for other major cryptopairs: the Litecoin as well as the Ethereum and the Ripple completed it almost in the same place where they started.



    As for the forecast for the coming week, summarizing the opinions of a number of analysts, as well as forecasts made on the basis of a variety of methods of technical and graphical analysis, we can say the following:
    • EUR/USD. 60% of experts predict the movement of the pair to the east along Pivot Point 1.1800. Graphical analysis on D1 also draws a side channel, indicating the boundaries as 1.1750-1.2000. 15% of the oscillators also indicate a certain growth of the pair, giving signals that it is oversold.
      The remaining 40% of analysts expect the continuation of the downtrend. Support is at the levels of 1.1700, 1.1665 and 1.1585.
      Talking about important events of the upcoming week, we should pay attention to the meeting of the FRS Committee on Open Markets on Wednesday, May 23, the ECB meeting on monetary policy on Thursday, May 24 and the speech of the head of the US Federal Reserve, J. Powell, on Friday, May 25.

    • GBP/USD. The experts' opinions are divided almost equally: 35% are for the growth of the pair, 35% are for its fall and 30% vote for the continuation of the lateral trend.
      As for graphical analysis, it also predicts lateral movement in the range 1.3450-1.3615 on both H4 and D1, after which a powerful collapse and the transition of the pair to 1.3300 zone is expected to follow.
    • USD/JPY. 65% of experts, 95% of trend indicators and 90% of oscillators, as well as graphical analysis on D1 expect the continuation of the uptrend. The nearest goal is the height of 112.00, the next one is 100 points higher.
      35% of analysts have voted for a decline, supported by 10% of the oscillators, which signal that the pair is overbought. Graphical analysis on H4 does not exclude the possibility of temporary correction down to the horizon of 109.85;
    • Cryptocurrencies. The main forecast of stock exchange experts on the BTC/USD pair assumes the growth of bitcoin in an effort to reach $10,000. Support is at the levels of 8,100 and 7,900.
      As for the oscillators, there is no unity among them. For example, MACD on H4 demonstrates a small divergence with a price chart, which indicates the possibility of the growth of the pair. On the other hand, the indicator of trading volumes MFI (Money Flow Index) on H4 is in the overbought zone and looks to the south. On D1, the picture is exactly the opposite.
      As for other cryptopairs, analysts believe that their correction is completed, and now they will strive up, following the bitcoin. Ethereum (ETH/USD): the nearest target is 740.00, the next one is 835.00, the support is 635.00. Litecoin (LTC/USD): the goals are 150.00 and 180.00, the support is in the area of 130.00. Ripple (XRP/USD): the target is 0.8850, the main support is 0.6140.

    Comment


    • #3
      Over the last 24 hours, the EURUSD pair has risen by around 25 pips; from 1.1641 to 1.1666. Although the euro dropped to 1.1575 against the dollar ahead of yesterday’s US session, it managed to recover its losses by the evening and return to 1.1641 on the back on Trump’s remarks.

      Moving on to the chart, we can see that the potential downtrend on the EURUSD hourly timeframe is still alive and well:



      We can see on the chart how the euro rebounded from the resistance line towards the trend line following Trump’s speech. I reckon that the EURUSD pair will remain within the downwards channel for the rest of the day.

      I’d refrain from trading the EURUSD pair on the hourly timeframe today, because despite the downtrend, there’s no clear sell signal. What we’re currently seeing on the hourly timeframe is a correction.
      Last edited by worldwide-invest; 16-09-2018, 04:28 PM. Reason: Remove Link , Read Our TOS

      Comment


      • #4
        Over the last 24 hours, the EURUSD pair has risen by around 25 pips; from 1.1641 to 1.1666. Although the euro dropped to 1.1575 against the dollar ahead of yesterday’s US session, it managed to recover its losses by the evening and return to 1.1641 on the back on Trump’s remarks.
        Moving on to the chart, we can see that the potential downtrend on the EURUSD hourly timeframe is still alive and well:


        We can see on the chart how the euro rebounded from the resistance line towards the trend line following Trump’s speech. I reckon that the EURUSD pair will remain within the downwards channel for the rest of the day.

        I’d refrain from trading the EURUSD pair on the hourly timeframe today, because despite the downtrend, there’s no clear sell signal. What we’re currently seeing on the hourly timeframe is a correction.

        Comment

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