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  • Date : 11th January 2017.

    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 11th January 2017.




    FX News Today

    European Fixed Income Outlook: Asian stock markets are mostly slightly lower, yields are coming down after the sharp move higher in recent days and 10-year JGBs shed -1.1 bp while Treasury yields are down 2.0 bp at 2.537%. Global equity indices have reached levels that raised concerns of overheating, while a number of bond auctions added to the uptick in yields yesterday. But while Germany under-subscribed 10-year auction yesterday spooked investors, strong demand in the USD 20 bln 10-year Treasury auction helped to calm nerves and saw yields heading sound again. Losses on Asian stock markets meanwhile were modes. The Nikkei closed down -0.33%, U.S. futures are narrowly mixed and UK100 futures are moving higher and with the EUR holding below 1.20 against the Dollar, the GER30 may be able to recover somewhat after under-performing yesterday, as full year 2017 GDP estimates are likely to show very strong growth, while Bund futures are likely to open higher.

    FX Update: The dollar is firmer after China rebutted yesterday’s Bloomberg story alleging that it was pondering a reduction on U.S. Treasury purchases. USD-JPY broke a run of three consecutive declines, which printed a seven-week low at 111.27 yesterday, in recouping to the upper 111.0s. China’s State Administration of Foreign Exchange said that the Bloomberg report was based on “false” information. The remark saw the yield on the 10-year T-note tick lower while giving the dollar a lift. The narrow trade-weighted USD index recovered to within a few pips of 92.47 after seeing a low of 91.92 yesterday. EUR-USD has ebbed back under 1.1950 after yesterday foraying above 1.2000 in the wake of the Bloomberg story. Market participants will now return focus on incoming fundamental leads while continuing to digest this week’s BoJ tapering of its QE program.

    Main Macro Events Today

    BOE Credit Conditions Survey

    ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts

    Canadian NHPI – November new home price index expected at 0.2%m/m from 0.1% m/m.

    US PPI & Unemployment claims – Headline PPI may dip 0.2% in December vs 0.4%, while core is expected at 0.2% vs 0.3%. Initial jobless claims are projected to drop 5k to 245k for the January 5 week.

    Charts of the Day



    Support and Resistance Levels



    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.


    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex


    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers. Retail, IB and White Label Clients have the opportunity to access interbank spreads and liquidity via state of the art automated trading platforms.

    Comment


    • Date : 12th January 2017.

      MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 12th January 2017.




      FX News Today

      European Fixed Income Outlook: Asian stock markets moved mostly higher, with Hang Seng and CSI 300 outperforming again, while the Nikkei underperformed and declined -0.24% as the Yen moved higher against the dollar. Oil giants led the way in Hong Kong. 10-year JGB and Treasury yields climbed and recent volatility in bond markets seemed to subside somewhat, although the BoJ and ECB reminding markets this week that central bank support is slowly on the way out, yields are likely to continue to trend higher. UK100 futures are rising in tandem with U.S. futures. The calendar only has second tier data in the form of inflation numbers out of Spain, France and Sweden.

      FX Update: The dollar has remained on a softening tack, with the narrow trade-weighted USD index (DXY) extending yesterday’s declines from levels around 92.50 to a 91.75 low today,, which matches the four-month low that was posted on January 2. The greenback has logged fresh lows versus the euro, sterling and Australian dollar, among other currencies, in the early part of the Asia-Pacific session after Fed’s Dudley saying that the case for gradualist approach to tightening monetary policy remains strong, arguing that the pace of rate hikes could be accelerated if need be. EURUSD clocked a five-day peak at 1.2066, with subsequent dips remaining shallow. AUDUSD traded above 0.7900 for the first time since late September, logging a peak of 0.7904. The hawkish-leaning ECB minutes, yesterday, and the BoJ’s QE tapering announcement earlier in the week, have been factors generating a softer dollar theme this week, via EURUSD buying and USDJPY selling, respectively.

      Main Macro Events Today

      US CPI & Core CPI – Headline CPI is forecast to increase 0.2% in December vs 0.4% , while core is set to rise 0.2% vs 0.1% — leaving core y/y at 1.7%.

      US Retail Sales – December retail sales forecast to rise 0.4% vs 0.8%, while increasing 0.4% ex-auto. Lastly is business inventories that should rise 0.3% in November vs -0.1%.

      German Buba President Weidmann Speech

      Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Rosengren Speech

      Charts of the Day



      Support and Resistance Levels



      Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

      Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

      Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

      Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

      Click HERE to READ more Market news.


      Andria Pichidi
      Market Analyst
      HotForex


      Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
      HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers. Retail, IB and White Label Clients have the opportunity to access interbank spreads and liquidity via state of the art automated trading platforms.

      Comment



      • Date : 15th January 2017.

        MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 15th January 2017.




        Main Macro Events This Week

        Wall Street soared to record highs again last Friday and outperformed most global indices. The bullish impacts of U.S. tax reform and deregulation have manifested in signs of stronger growth and have led to expectations for improved earnings. The momentum has helped boost European and Asian shares as well.
        United States: U.S. markets are closed Monday for the Martin Luther King holiday. The hefty rally on Wall Street has helped lead global markets higher so far in 2018. While there’s plenty of unease to go around at these lofty levels, the underlying optimism suggested by earnings expectations, the bullish momentum, and the forecasts for sustained economic growth ahead suggest the rally can be extended. Earnings should be the guiding force in the markets this week, with some impact from economic data. The spending bill will be monitored ahead of a partial government shutdown on Friday as the spending bill runs out. Deal making could get contentious, particularly after President Trump remains at odds with the Democrats on “Wall” funding, while the kerfuffle over the President’s language last week add to the divisive environment.
        This week, Manufacturing and production data headline the economic calendar. The January Empire State manufacturing index (Tuesday) should rise 1 point to 19 after falling 1.4 points to 18.0 in December. Industrial production for December (Wednesday) is expected to rise 0.4% after the 0.2% November gain, to bring capacity utilization up to 77.2% from 77.1%. The Philly Fed index (Thursday)should fall to 25.0 in January from the upwardly revised 27.9 in December. The NAHB homebuilder sentiment index is due Wednesday. Housing starts (Thursday)should fall to a 1.275 mln pace in December after November’s 3.3% surge to 1.297 mln. Preliminary January consumer sentiment (Friday) is expected to rise to 97.0 after the index slid 0.8 points to 95.9 in December, supported by the bull run in equities and the passage of the tax bill.
        Canada: The BoC is in the spotlight this week, with Wednesday’s announcement expected to reveal a 25 basis point (bp) rate hike to 1.25%. The Monetary Policy Report, also due Wednesday, should reveal a still cautiously upbeat growth outlook that is consistent with a gradual normalization path. The data slate is thin, leaving the focus firmly on the Bank of Canada: December existing home sales are expected Monday, while November manufacturing is due Friday. The manufacturing shipment values expected to rise 1.0% m/m after the 0.4% dip in October.
        Europe: After Draghi failed to deliver the expected tweak in the forward guidance in December, the minutes from the meeting reminded investors that “postponed” is not “canceled” and that the ECB is still on the way to phase out net asset purchases after the end of the current program in September. However, gradualism remains the order of the day and this week’s data releases could help the markets settle down further, with final HICP readings for the Eurozone coming with a slight risk to the downside after downward revisions to Spanish and French readings. ECB speakers include Weidmann and Nowotny and are likely to come in on the hawkish side, however, so a balanced picture. Meanwhile political risks seem to be receding somewhat with Germany finally heading for a functioning government after Merkel reached a preliminary agreement with the Social Democrats in the exploratory talks for a rerun of the grand coalition, although the SPD’s party conference still has to clear the talks.
        The European calendar focuses on the remaining final inflation numbers for December. We are looking for German HICP (Tuesday) to be confirmed at 1.6% y/y and the Italian HICP (Tuesday) at 1.0%, which should leave the overall Eurozone CPI reading at 1.4% y/y unchanged from the preliminary number and down from November. European calendar has also has November PPI data for November, seen falling back to 2.3% y/y, from 2.5% y/y. The Eurozone schedule includes November trade as well as current account data and supply also continues to flood in with Spain and France auctioning bonds on Thursday and Germany selling 30 year Bunds on Wednesday.
        UK: The week ahead brings some key data releases, highlighted by December inflation and retail sales data. Brexit-related developments of significance have been in short supply so far in the new year, but are likely to pick up. Talks between the UK and EU on a transition deal are due to start presently, although negotiations on a future trading relationship with the EU are not due to begin until March. As for this week’s data calendar, UK CPI for December (Tuesday) expected to have a moderation to 3.0% y/y after November’s 3.1% y/y clip, an outcome which would square with BoE projections. December retail sales are also due (Friday), where a decline is expected of 0.8% m/m, which would correct some of the 1.1% m/m gain that was seen in November. Overall, data in-line with expectations shouldn’t cast much bearing on sterling markets.
        Japan:December PPI (Tuesday) is penciled in at a 3.1% y/y pace, slightly slower than the 3.5% previously. The November tertiary index (Tuesday) is forecast rising 0.5% from the prior 0.3% bounce after slipping slightly in August (-0.1%) and September (-0.2%). November core machine orders (Wednesday) should fall 2.0% m/m from the 5.0% increase in October. The index has bounced around on a monthly basis but posted a 3.9% 3-month change in October, and is up 2.3% y/y. However, there’s risk of a deeper slide in November given the firmer yen. Revised November industrial production is due Thursday. Production posted a 0.6% gain initially, for a second straight monthly gain (0.5% in October).
        China: December industrial production (Thursday) is forecast to rise 6.1% y/y, unchanged from November. December retail sales are anticipated to have risen 10.3% y/y from 10.2%, while December fixed investment is seen up 7.0% y/y from 7.2%.
        Australia: Housing investment (Wednesday) is seen rising 1.0% in November after the 0.6% dip in October. Employment (Friday) is expected to expand 25.0k in December after the 61.6k bounce in November. The unemployment rate is projected to hold steady at 5.4%. Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of Australia’s has another clean slate this week. Indeed, the Bank’s event schedule is empty until the policy meeting on February 6, where no change to the current 1.50% setting for the cash rate,is expected.


        Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

        Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

        Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

        Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

        Click HERE to READ more Market news.


        Andria Pichidi
        Market Analyst
        HotForex


        Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
        HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers. Retail, IB and White Label Clients have the opportunity to access interbank spreads and liquidity via state of the art automated trading platforms.

        Comment



        • Date : 16th January 2017.

          MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 16th January 2017.




          FX News Today

          European Fixed Income Outlook:Stock markets moved higher in Asia overnight after shrugging off early losses, U.S. futures are also moving higher, but European markets are likely to continue to struggle with the weak USD. The EUR in particular has been pushed higher as markets run away with rate hike fears after last week’s ECB minutes, ignoring the hint that any change in the forward guidance will focus on net asset purchases, rather than the sequencing of exit steps, i.e. interest rates, which are still not expected to end until well after net asset purchases have been halted. Yields moved higher in Europe yesterday and stock markets struggled. Today’s focus will be on final inflation readings out of the Eurozone, but primarily key U.K. inflation data and a dip in the headline CPI rate is expected to 3.0% from 3.1% y/y in the previous month.
          FX Update: USDJPY has lifted to the upper 110.0s after opening in Tokyo just under 110.50. There were some remarks of disquiet about yen strength from both finance minister, Aso, and the economy minister, Motegi, which followed a six consecutive session run lower in USDJPY that yesterday left a four-month low at 110.33. Japanese December PPI also came in a smidgeon shy of expectations, at 3.1% y/y, while another USDJPY supporting influence is a large USDJPY option structure with a 111.20 strike which is due to expire at the New York cut today. USDJPY posted an intra-day peak at 110.98. Resistance at 111.05-7, and support is at 110.29-30.
          Charts of the Day


          [​IMG]
          Main Macro Events Today
          • UK PPI- December PPI is penciled in at a 0.5% y/y, slower than the 1.8% previously.
          • UK CPI- A moderation is expected to 3.0% y/y after November’s 3.1% y/y clip, an outcome which would square with BoE projections.
          • US Empire State Manufacturing Index – The January Empire State manufacturing index should rise 1 point to 19 after falling 1.4 points to 18.0 in December
          • SNB Chairman Jordan Speech

          Support and Resistance Levels


          [​IMG]

          Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

          Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

          Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

          Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

          Click HERE to READ more Market news.


          Andria Pichidi
          Market Analyst
          HotForex



          Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
          HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers. Retail, IB and White Label Clients have the opportunity to access interbank spreads and liquidity via state of the art automated trading platforms.

          Comment


          • Date : 18th January 2017.

            MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 18th January 2017.




            FX News Today

            European Fixed Income Outlook: Asian stock markets traded mixed overnight, with Nikkei and ASX 200 closing in the red, while Chinese shares rallied ahead of key data releases including GDP numbers. FTSE 100 and U.S. stock futures are narrowly mixed, while 10-year JGB and Treasury yields slightly lower on the day, South Korea bonds rallied after the BoK held rates steady and warned of overheating in cryptocurrency markets. EGB yields moved marginally higher on Thursday, with Bunds outperforming after ECB officials tried to calm tightening concerns and keep a lid on the euro. Still, that the ECB is on the way to phase out net asset purchases this year is pretty clear, with the only question whether there will be an abrupt end in October, as the hawks are suggesting, or a gradual taper in Q4. Released overnight, U.K. RICS house price data came in stronger than expected. There are no other key data releases scheduled leaving the focus on the Bundesbank/IMF conference with speakers including Weidmann and Coeure, as well as French and Spanish bond auctions.

            FX Update: The dollar edged out fresh recovery highs versus the euro and other currencies. EURUSD logged a four-session low of 1.2165 before recouping to around 1.2200. The move reflected a dollar dynamic, with EURJPY and other euro crosses having held relatively steady today, even though the airing of concerns about the common currency’s ascent by some ECB officials, along with concerns on the German political front, helped catalysed the correction from 37-month highs in EURUSD. USDJPY lifted to a four-session high of 111.48 in Tokyo today, extending the recovery from Wednesday’s four-month low at 110.19. The recovery broke a run of seven consecutive down . Good selling interest into 111.50 capped the advance, however. Equity markets also turned mixed-to-lower in Asia, despite Wall Street ascending to fresh highs, having been lifted by earnings and Apple’s announcement on a large cash repatriation. Elsewhere, USD-CAD has settled at near net unchanged levels relative to levels that were prevailing just ahead of yesterday’s BoC rate hike (which met expectations while be accompanied with cautious guidance). Sterling is the strongest currency on the day, posting a near 0.5% average gain versus the dollar, euro and yen in post-London close trading. Remarks from BoE MPC member Sauders warning that pay growth will accelerate in the UK during 2018 and that unemployment may drop to multi-decade lows under 4.0%, gave Hey Majesty’s currency a boost, reportedly encouraging interbank and near-term speculative accounts to run at sell stops in EUR-GBP.

            Main Macro Events Today

            US Housing Starts & Building Permits – Housing starts should fall to a 1.275 mln pace in December after November’s 3.3% surge to 1.297 mln, while Building permits expected at 1.290M from 1.298M seen on November.

            US Jobless Claims – Unemployment claims is seen slightly lower at 250K than 261K last week.

            US Crude Oil Inventories

            Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey – The Philly Fed index should fall to 25.0 in January from the upwardly revised 27.9 in December. The reading was at 24.1 a year ago, and was as high as 36.4 in 2011.

            ECB Cœuré Speech

            Charts of the Day



            Support and Resistance Levels



            Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

            Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

            Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

            Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

            Click HERE to READ more Market news.


            Andria Pichidi
            Market Analyst
            HotForex


            Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
            HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers. Retail, IB and White Label Clients have the opportunity to access interbank spreads and liquidity via state of the art automated trading platforms.

            Comment


            • Date : 19th January 2017.

              MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 19th January 2017.




              FX News Today

              European Fixed Income Outlook: Asian stock markets moved mostly higher led by industrial and tech stocks and the Treasury yields climbed as investors nervously eye the risk of a U.S. government shutdown, as the federal spending authority is set to expire today, which weighed on the dollar. The Yen advanced, but the Nikkei still managed a 0.19% gain and the CSI 300 is up 0.50%. FTSE 100 futures are fractionally higher, U.S. futures marginally in the red. Core EGB yields climbed with Treasury yields yesterday, but peripherals outperformed and Eurozone spreads narrowed amid signs that the ECB remains very cautious in its approach to changes in the guidance, even as hawks slowly gain the upper hand. Today’s calendar has U.K. retail sales and Eurozone current account and BoP data after PPI numbers at the start of the session.

              FX Update: The dollar has traded softer on U.S. political concerns, though has remained above recent trend lows versus the yen, euro and most other currencies. The narrow trade-weighted USD index (DXY) is down 0.2%, making a low at 90.33 and swinging the 37-month low of Wednesday at 90.14 back into scope. The House of Reps passed the stopgap funding bill yesterday, and the vote now goes to the Senate, which has delayed its vote until later today and where there remains significant opposition to the bill. Republicans have been making amendments to the bill in an attempt to entice Democrat votes, but Democrats signalled that they have enough Senate opposition to stop the bill, which does not give sufficient concessions to them on immigration, government spending and other issues. According to the Washington Post, 39 Democrat and at least two GOP Senate members are known to be in opposition, leaving the bill short of the 60 votes needed to advance. This will be the dominant focus for markets today for market participants. Should the vote fail, government agencies will start shutting down from tomorrow — a scenario that would likely spark heavy dollar selling.

              Main Macro Events Today

              US Partial Government Shutdown

              Swiss Product and Import Prices – should fall to a 0.4% in December after November’s 0.6%.

              US Retail Sales – December retail sales expected to show a decline of 0.8% m/m (median -0.6% m/m), which would correct some of the 1.1% m/m gain that was seen in November.

              Canadian Manufacturing Sales – manufacturing shipment values expected to rise 1.9% m/m after the 0.4% dip in October.

              Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment – expected to rise to 97.0 after the index slid 0.8 points to 95.9 in December, supported by the bull run in equities and the passage of the tax bill.

              FOMC Member Quarles Speech

              Charts of the Day



              Support and Resistance Levels



              Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

              Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

              Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

              Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

              Click HERE to READ more Market news.


              Andria Pichidi
              Market Analyst
              HotForex


              Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
              HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers. Retail, IB and White Label Clients have the opportunity to access interbank spreads and liquidity via state of the art automated trading platforms.

              Comment


              • Date : 22nd January 2017.

                MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 22nd January 2017.




                FX News Today

                The immediate focus will be on the U.S. government which went on partial shutdown in the wee hours on Saturday as the Senate failed to pass a continuing resolution. Critical government services will remain open, though many will work without pay. And if the standoff lasts into Monday, thousands of workers will be furloughed. This situation is nothing new, with the last occurrence in 2013, and there’s no significant impact on the economy. Once past the shutdown hoopla, focus will return to a series of central bank meetings with the BoJ and ECB.

                United States: In the U.S. the first FOMC meeting of 2018 is on the horizon, January 30, 31, but no changes are expected. This will be the last meeting chaired by Ms. Yellen, while it will include the new voting rotation with Williams, Mester, Bostic, and Barkin. Meanwhile, we’re still waiting for the Senate to confirm Jay Powell as the new Fed chairman. Meanwhile, the economic calendar includes a number of releases, headlined by the Advance Q4 GDP report and durable orders at the end of the week, along with housing stats. The slate kicks off with an update on the Chicago Fed national activity index (Monday), followed by the Richmond Fed index (Tuesday). MBA mortgage applications are due (Wednesday), along with FHFA home prices, Markit PMIs and December existing home sales. Advanced goods trade deficit is forecast to narrow to -$69 bln in December (Thursday) from -$70 bln, while initial jobless claims are set to rebound 15k to 235k from 45-year lows of 220k for the January 20th week. New home sales are expected to ease 12.7% to a 640k pace in December from 733k highs (+17.5%) in November (Thursday) and leading indicators are on tap to rise 0.2% in December from 0.4% in November. The week rounds out with advance Q4 GDP (Friday) set to increase 2.8%, a tad slower than 3.2% in Q3.

                Canada: the calendar is highlighted by the December CPI, but we also receive the final reports that inform the November GDP estimate. Wholesale trade begins the week (Monday), with an 1.0% gain expected for November shipment values following the 1.5% rise in October. Retail sales (Thursday) are expected to grow 1.2% in value terms during November after the 1.5% increase in October. The CPI (Friday) is projected to slow to a 1.9% y/y pace in December from 2.1% in November. November average weekly earnings (Thursday) are expected to edge 0.1% higher (m/m, sa) after the 0.1% dip in October. The January CFIB Business Barometer Survey of small and medium business sentiment is scheduled for release on Thursday.

                Europe: The ECB meeting is the big event risk for this week. Speculation of a major shift in guidance has been running high since the release of the minutes and clearly the hawks at the council have been more vocal in the run up to the meeting. Still, Vice President Constancio stressed that while officials agreed that the guidance will have to change ahead of the end of the current QE program, he also stressed that this doesn’t have to happen immediately. And with officials fretting about the recent EUR strength, only small language changes and no firm commitment to the end of net asset purchases, is expected. Still, it is clear that the ECB is on the way to phase out net asset purchases in the last quarter of this year, either in gradual steps, as the doves will favor, or by just stopping purchases from October onwards. Data releases, meanwhile, focus on an almost full round of confidence numbers, with PMI readings and German ZEW and Ifo surveys ion tap.

                UK: The calendar this week brings monthly government borrowing data (Tuesday), the January CBI surveys on industrial trends and distributive sales (due Tuesday and Friday, respectively), the monthly labour market report (Wednesday), and the second estimate for Q4 GDP (Friday).

                Japan: The BoJ announces its decision (Tuesday), and no change in rates or the policy stance is expected, despite the minor tweak to bond purchases made on January 9 when the Bank trimmed its purchases of longer dated JGBs. The markets may have gotten ahead of the BoJ’s timeline in terms of discussing normalization. As for data, the November all-industry index (Tuesday) is penciled in rising 0.8% on the month after the 0.3% October gain. The December trade report (Wednesday) should reveal a widening of the surplus to JPY 600.0 bln from 112.2 bln previously. December national CPI (Friday) should show the overall index rising to a 1.0% y/y pace from 0.6% previously, with the core reading at 1.0% y/y, from 0.9%. Tokyo January CPI (Friday) is expected unchanged at 1.0% y/y overall, and steady at 0.8% y/y on a core basis. December services PPI (Friday) will likely be unchanged at 0.8%

                Australia: The calendar is empty of top tier economic data and Reserve Bank of Australia events. The Bank’s event schedule is empty until the policy meeting on February 6. The calendar is empty of top tier economic data and Reserve Bank of Australia events. The Bank’s event schedule is empty until the policy meeting on February 6.

                Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

                Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

                Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

                Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

                Click HERE to READ more Market news.


                Andria Pichidi
                Market Analyst
                HotForex


                Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
                HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers. Retail, IB and White Label Clients have the opportunity to access interbank spreads and liquidity via state of the art automated trading platforms.

                Comment


                • Date : 23rd January 2017.

                  MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 23rd January 2017.




                  FX News Today

                  European Fixed Income Outlook: Bund yields quickly started to head south in early trade, amid a wider correction in 10-year yields across the U.S. Japan, China, Australia. The 10 year Bund yield is now down -0.2 bp at 0.561%, despite gains in European and U.S. stock futures, after equities rallied in Asia, on news that the U.S. government shutdown is ended and amid optimism about corporate earnings. The BoJ left policy unchanged, but sounded cautiously optimistic on inflation. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index reached headed for fresh record highs, despite warnings of overheating as the IMF’s economic outlook confirmed that growth is already starting to slow down from high levels. Today’s local calendar has German ZEW investor confidence as well as U.K. public finance data and the U.K. CBI industrial trends survey. Preliminary eurozone consumer confidence will be published in the afternoon.

                  FX Update: BoJ’s Kuroda sounded dovish at his post-meeting press conference. He said that the central bank will remain strongly committed to monetary easing, including QQE, until the 2% inflation target has been reached, which remains “far” from the case. He said that the BoJ remains committed to yield curve control and, downplaying the January-9 announcement of a trimming in long-dated JGB purchases, said that day-to-day operations are not an indication of future monetary policy. The yen declined by about 30 pips versus the dollar, and traded lower versus other currencies, in the wake of Kuroda’s remarks. Meanwhile, EURUSD bottomed at 1.2225 as news reports indicated there were enough Senate votes to pass spending legislation, ending the government shutdown. Senate has advanced a temporary spending bill in an 81-18 vote. This will refund the government thrugh February 8. The Senate still needs to vote on final passage of the CR, and then send it back to the House for its OK, which will be passed, according to leadership.

                  Main Macro Events Today

                  WEF Annual Meetings

                  UK Public Sector Net Borrowing – should fall to £4.400B in December after November’s £8.118B.

                  German ZEW Economic Sentiment – expected to stabilise at 18.0 after falling to 17.4 in December underpinned by confidence in the global economy.

                  EU Consumer Confidence – preliminary Confidence expected to rise at 0.6 for January than 0.5 seen last month.

                  Charts of the Day



                  Support and Resistance Levels



                  Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

                  Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

                  Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

                  Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

                  Click HERE to READ more Market news.


                  Andria Pichidi
                  Market Analyst
                  HotForex


                  Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
                  HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers. Retail, IB and White Label Clients have the opportunity to access interbank spreads and liquidity via state of the art automated trading platforms.

                  Comment


                  • Date : 24th January 2017.

                    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 24th January 2017.




                    FX News Today

                    European Fixed Income Outlook: Asian stock markets mixed, with Japan under-performing and the Nikkei down -0.76%, while Chinese stocks moved sys and the ASX 200 rose 0.29%. A stronger yen and profit taking after the Japanese shares reached their highest level since 1991 on Tuesday weighed on Nikkei and Topix U.S. stock futures are narrowly mixed after a strong session yesterday that was bolstered by the earnings season. The UK100 future is in the red. 10-year JGB yields are up 1.3 bp, 10-year Treasury yields up 0.6 bp, amid concerns about a widening trade deficit in the U.S. Oil prices held near the highest since December 2014. A more cautious mood then in markets as the focus in Europe shifts to the ECB meeting tomorrow. Today’s calendar includes preliminary Eurozone PMI readings as well as U.K. labour market data.

                    FX Update: The dollar has come under fresh pressure. The narrow trade-weighted USD index (DXY) traded at fresh three-year lows, logging a nadir at 89.83 and bringing cumulative loss on the year so far to 13%. EURUSD logged a 37-month high of 1.2335, while USDJPY traded below 110.00 for the first time since last September, posting a low at 109.80. Cable forayed further into post-Brexit vote high territory, seeing a peak at 1.4049. NZDUSD posted a new trend high, while AUDUSD came within a whisker of doing so. In the U.S, Jerome Powell was confirmed by a Senate vote as the new Fed chairman, from February 3, and, being a policy moderate by reputation, is expected to maintain Yellen’s gradualist approach to tightening. Japanese data today included a strong export figure in December trade data and a four-year high in the preliminary manufacturing PMI survey, of 54.4 — adding to the global growth narrative, although the stock market rally has sputtered somewhat in Asia. We advise trend following with regard to the dollar.

                    Main Macro Events Today

                    German Markit PMI – is seen falling back slightly to 63.0 from 63.3 and the services reading to 55.6 from 55.8, leaving the composite at a still very high 58.6, and just slightly lower than the 58.9 in December.

                    EU Manufacturing PMI – is seen falling back slightly to 60.3 from 60.6 and the services reading to 56.4 from 56.6, leaving the composite at a still very high 57.9, and just slightly lower than the 58.1 in December.

                    UK Earnings and Unemployment Data – an unchanged unemployment rate of 4.3% in the official ILO November reading is expected, with average household incomes expected to rise 2.5% y/y in the three months to November.

                    US Existing Home Sales- December existing home sales seen slipping back 3.6% to 5.72 mln from November highs of 5.81 mln

                    US Crude Oil Inventories

                    Charts of the Day



                    Support and Resistance Levels



                    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

                    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

                    Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

                    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

                    Click HERE to READ more Market news.


                    Andria Pichidi
                    Market Analyst
                    HotForex


                    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
                    HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers. Retail, IB and White Label Clients have the opportunity to access interbank spreads and liquidity via state of the art automated trading platforms.

                    Comment


                    • Date : 25th January 2017.

                      MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 25th January 2017.




                      FX News Today

                      European Outlook: Asian stock markets headed south, led by Japan with the Nikkei losing -1.13%, as the dollar was further pressured by U.S. rhetoric on USD and trade. U.S. stock futures are down in tandem with FTSE 100 futures as the focus turns to the ECB meeting today as a strong data round so far this week has rekindled concerns of a major shift in guidance. The strong PMI readings out of the Eurozone and the rise in U.K. employment numbers coupled with a stronger pound saw U.K. bond markets underperforming yesterday and yields surging higher led by Gilts, while the FTSE 100 underperformed amid a wider dip in equities. With the pound remaining strong and the ECB meeting hanging over markets we are unlikely to see a major correction during the AM session and ahead of key surveys in the form of the German Ifo and the U.K. Distributive trade survey. Meanwhile we expect Draghi to continue to move cautiously, although that the ECB is heading for an exit from QE this year is pretty clear.

                      FX Update: USDJPY is down for a third straight day, this time logging a four-month low of 108.73. Broader dollar declines has once again been driving, with the buck making fresh lows versus a range of other currencies. EURJPY and other yen crosses have been trading comparatively steadily. Stock markets in Asia have come off the boil amid concerns about Trump’s protectionist bent, and after his Treasury Secretary’s verbal embracement, yesterday, of the weakening dollar trend, which many are calling the “Mnuchin Moment”. The dollar, which is down for a fifth consecutive quarter, which is the most protracted decline since 2007-8, is posting its biggest monthly loss in over two years. There at signs that this is causing some consternation in Asia, with a Bloomberg report today citing South Korean policymaker has affirming that “excessive” movements in USD-KRW are being “monitored.”

                      Main Macro Events Today

                      ECB Rate Decision & Statement & Press Conference – 12:45 and 13:30 GMT – Asset purchasing is ending – but when and how is the Hawk/Dove Debate – how will Draghi play this with and appreciating EUR ?

                      German Ifo – Expectations – a slight dip in the reading to 117.0 from 117.2

                      Canadian Retails Sales – Expectations – Decrease to 0.7% from 1.5% last time

                      Charts of the Day



                      Support and Resistance Levels



                      Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

                      Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

                      Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

                      Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

                      Click HERE to READ more Market news.


                      Andria Pichidi
                      Market Analyst
                      HotForex


                      Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
                      HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers. Retail, IB and White Label Clients have the opportunity to access interbank spreads and liquidity via state of the art automated trading platforms.

                      Comment


                      • Do you provide trading analysis on local languages. Sometimes it feels a bit complicated to sift out key information important for my trading from this, because I'm not native english speaker

                        Comment


                        • Date : 26th January 2017.

                          MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 26th January 2017.




                          FX News Today

                          European Fixed Income Outlook: Asian stock markets traded mixed. Japanese shares dipped as the yen bounced back against the dollar ahead of a speech by U.S. President Trump in Davos. The Nikkei is down 0.16%, Hang Seng and CSI 300 meanwhile are up 1.46% and 0.64% respectively while Australia was closed for a holiday. U.S. and U.K. stock futures are moving higher, bond markets are equally mixed and while 10-year Treasury yields are slightly higher, 10-year JGB’s corrected -0.7 bp. Bund futures continued to move up from the lows seen in the wake of Draghi’s presser yesterday and with reports that some at the ECB want to wait until June before tweaking the guidance, Eurozone yields should continue to stabilise, after yesterday’s surge higher. While Eurozone markets will continue to digest yesterday’s presser, U.K. markets have the first reading of Q4 GDP, with growth seen steady at 0.4% q/q, which would bring the annual rate down to 1.4% y/y from 1.7% y/y.ta.

                          Japan’s CPI improved to a 1.0% y/y pace in December from a 0.6% y/y pace in November. The core rate (which excludes food) grew 0.9% y/y in December after a matching gain in November. The growth rate of the national and core CPI came in as expected in December. Tokyo core CPI improved to a 1.3% y/y pace in January from a 1.0% y/y pace in December. The core Tokyo CPI slowed to a 0.7% y/y pace from 0.8%. USDJPY has dipped to 109.44 from 109.72, but remains above the 108.52 low seen during North American trading, which gave way to a sharp gain over 109.50 after Trump said the dollar is going to get stronger and stronger, and that ultimately he want to see a strong dollar. His comments contrasted with Mnuchin’s “weak dollar ok” comments that had knocked the greenback lower against a broad suite of currencies. The Nikkei is 0.2% firmer, the Hang Seng is up 0.8% and China’s CSI 300 is 0.3% higher. It was a mixed session on Wall Street Wednesday, as the Dow rose 0.5% to a fresh record 26,392.79, the S&P 500 inched 0.06% higher to a record 2839.25 while the Nasdaq fell 0.05%.

                          Main Macro Events Today

                          UK GDP- Q4 GDP expected to come in unrevised from the preliminary estimated growth readings of 0.4% q/q and 1.4% y/y.

                          US GDP and Durable Goods – Q4 GDP set to increase 3.0%, a tad slower than 3.2% in Q3. Durable goods orders are projected to rise 0.8% in December vs 1.3% in November, or +0.5% ex-transportation.

                          Canadian CPI and Core CPI – the CPI is projected to slow to a 1.9% y/y pace in December from 2.1% in November, as the index drops 0.3% m/m after the 0.3% bounce in November.

                          BoE Carney and BoJ Kuroda Speech at 14:00 GMT

                          Charts of the Day



                          Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

                          Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

                          Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

                          Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

                          Click HERE to READ more Market news.


                          Andria Pichidi
                          Market Analyst
                          HotForex


                          Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
                          HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers. Retail, IB and White Label Clients have the opportunity to access interbank spreads and liquidity via state of the art automated trading platforms.

                          Comment


                          • Date : 29th January 2017.

                            MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 29th January 2017.




                            FX News Today

                            President Trump stressed “when the United States grows, so does the world,” in Friday’s WEF Davos speech. That sentiment was illustrated last week as the IMF revised its 2017 global growth forecast up to 3.7%, and to 3.9% for 2018 and 2019, citing in part the stimulative impact from the U.S. tax cuts. This year’s growth would be the fastest and broadest since 2011 when the world was recovering from the financial crisis. This week’s slate of events and data should further underpin the current theme of improved global growth.

                            United States: The U.S. has a very full slate of events and data as the first month of 2018 comes to an end. However, it’s not clear any will have significant impact on current market trends of rising stocks and yields, and a weaker dollar. The calendar includes an FOMC meeting (Tuesday, Wednesday), President Trump’s State of the Union (Tuesday), the Treasury refunding announcement (Wednesday), and key data culminating with the January jobs report (Friday). Earnings will be announced all through the week (this is the heaviest week of the season).President Trump will deliver his first State of the Union on Tuesday. Reports are that most of his speech will cover domestic issues, and especially his trillion dollar infrastructure plans. A $716 bln request for defense spending was leaked last week, and later confirmed by the White House. Meanwhile, the government will quickly have to revisit the potential for another government shutdown as the current continuing resolution expires February 8. Additionally, the Treasury is quickly running out of borrowing authority, perhaps as soon as early March. With that threat overhanging, the debt managers will announce Q1 and Q2 financing projections (Monday) ahead of the February refunding (Wednesday).

                            The data calendar is loaded with many of the key reports for the month and will give early reads on various sectors of the economy at the start of 2018. As always, the nonfarm payroll release (Friday) will be the highlight. December personal income and consumption (Monday) will help fine tune GDP forecasts, though they will be a bit anti-climactic after the Q4 GDP report last Friday.The PCE price data will be crucial. It’s the figure the FOMC uses, and the headline index is likely to edge up 0.1%, though the core should increase 0.2%. The Q4 employment cost numbers will be an important update on wages and benefits. Q4 productivity and unit labor costs (Thursday) will also be awaited. Also important is the manufacturing ISM report. U.S. manufacturing has seen a resurgence and has become quite robust globally.Along with those numbers, other releases this week include the January ADP report (Wednesday). Consumer confidence (Tuesday) likely increased to 125.0 from 122.1 thanks to passage of the tax legislation and the ongoing gains on Wall Street.

                            Canada: Canada’s calendar is one of the few lean ones this week. November GDP (Wednesday), the only top tier report, is expected to rise 0.3% (m/m, sa) after the flat reading in October. Retail, manufacturing, and wholesale shipment volumes improved in November, while the outlook for the mining, oil and gas sector is positive. The industrial product price index, also due Wednesday, is projected to drop 0.5% in December (m/m, nsa) after the 1.4% gain in November, as gasoline prices declined, commodity prices eroded and the loonie strengthened. The MLI leading indicator for December and the January Markit Canada manufacturing PMI are due Thursday.

                            Europe: it’s a very busy week for the Eurozone calendar. But with data likely to give both doves and hawks something over which to argue, the numbers are unlikely to change the overall outlook for the ECB going forward. This week’s data calendar has preliminary inflation stats for January, the final set of confidence data in the form of the ESI and preliminary Q4 GDP numbers. The Eurozone GDP growth (Tuesday) for Q4 expected to show a slight deceleration in the quarterly growth rate to 0.5% q/q from 0.6% q/q in Q3. Looking ahead confidence remains very strong and the Eurozone ESI economic confidence indicator (Tuesday) is seen rising to 116.3 from 106.0, after preliminary consumer confidence jumped higher and composite PMI numbers also surprised on the upside.

                            UK: Fundamental and political positives have been combining to support what is the most positive investor sentiment toward the UK since the vote to leave the EU in 2016.On the economic front, the preliminary estimate of UK Q4 GDP beat expectations, which followed labour market data showing an unexpected 102k surge in UK employment. On the political front, there are also expectations for the EU and UK officials to agree on a post-Brexit transition period, most likely before the EU leaders’ summit in March. The UK calendar this week features December monthly lending data from the BoE (Wednesday), the January Gfk consumer confidence (Thursday), and the January Markit manufacturing and construction PMI surveys (Thursday and Friday, respectively).

                            Japan: December unemployment (Tuesday) is seen unchanged at 2.7%, while the job offers/seekers ration should nudge up to 1.57 from 1.56. December personal income and PCE are due Tuesday, with the latter expected up 1.0% y/y from 1.7% in November. December retail sales (Tuesday) should rise 2.4% y/y from 2.2% overall, and increase 0.5% from 1.4% for large retailers. Preliminary December industrial production (Wednesday) is seen rising 1.5% y/y from 0.5%, while January consumer confidence (Wednesday) should tick up to 46.0 from 45.7. December housing starts (Wednesday) are penciled in at down 0.2% from -0.4%. December construction orders are also due Wednesday. Thursday brings the January Nikkei/Markit manufacturing PMI, which is forecast to rise to 54.5 from 54.0.

                            China: releases the official CFLP January manufacturing PMI on Wednesday, which is expected to improve to51.7 from 51.6. The Caixin/Markit Manufacturing PMI (Thursday) is see at 51.8 from 51.5.

                            Australia: Q4 CPI (Wednesday) is seen accelerating to a 0.8% pace (q/q, sa) from the 0.6% pace in Q3. The CPI is anticipated to pick-up to a 2.1% y/y pace in Q4 from 1.8% y/y in Q3. There is nothing from the Reserve Bank of Australia this week. The Bank meets next week, and no change to the current 1.50% rate setting is anticipated. Import prices (Thursday) are expected to rebound 2.0% in Q4 (q/q, sa) after the 1.6% drop in Q3. Export prices (Thursday) are projected to rebound 3.0% in Q4 (q/q, sa) after the 3.0% drop in Q3.

                            Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

                            Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

                            Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

                            Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

                            Click HERE to READ more Market news.


                            Andria Pichidi
                            Market Analyst
                            HotForex


                            Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
                            HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers. Retail, IB and White Label Clients have the opportunity to access interbank spreads and liquidity via state of the art automated trading platforms.

                            Comment


                            • Date : 30th January 2017.

                              MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 30th January 2017.




                              FX News Today

                              European Fixed Income Outlook: Equities sold off in Asia overnight, U.S. and U.K. stock futures are also in the red, as yields continue to rise. The 10-year Treasury yield climbed above 2.7% as yields rise to the highest since 2014, setting Bunds on course to tackle the 0.7% mark for the first time since 2015. Investors are gearing up for the Fed decision and dwindling central bank support even as Draghi and the doves at the ECB try to calm nerves and reduce speculation of quick changes in guidance. Tech stocks started the sell off in Asia that saw the Nikkei losing 1.43% as the Yen strengthened. The Hang Seng is down -1.06%, the ASX 200 down -0.87%. Oil prices are down on the day and the front end USOil future is trading at USD 64.87 per barrel.

                              French Q4 GDP growth accelerated to 0.6% q/q, while Q3 was revised down fro 0.5% q/q from 0.6% q/q reported initially. The annual rate accelerated to 2.4% y/y from 2.3% y/y in the third quarter of 2017. A slightly stronger quarterly number than we expected, but a tad stronger than Bloomberg consensus. The breakdown showed a sharp acceleration in export growth while import growth slowed down, in tandem with consumption growth, which fell back to 0.3% q/q from 0.6% q/q. Gross Fixed Capital Formation rose 1.1% q/q, versus 0.9% q/q in the previous quarter. A surprisingly sluggish consumer sector for the French economy, which tends to be led by consumption and domestic demand, while strong export growth and ongoing investment growth is encouraging, especially as confidence numbers also point to ongoing improvements also on the labour market. A good signal then for overall Eurozone growth and the hawks at the ECB, which argue that the strength of the economy doesn’t need a further expansion of monetary support.

                              Main Macro Events Today

                              Eurozone Q4 GDP – expected to show a slight deceleration in the quarterly growth rate to 0.5% q/q from 0.6% q/q in Q3. Growth momentum remains very robust and part of the decline is likely to have been due to special calendar factors.

                              Eurozone ESI – The Eurozone ESI economic confidence indicator is seen rising to 116.3 in January from 106.0. Already released preliminary consumer confidence jumped higher and composite PMI numbers also surprised on the upside, pointing to ongoing improvements in sentiment, which keeps growth on track to continue to expand at the start of 2018 and will add to the arguments of the hawks at the ECB which seem to have been pushing for a change in guidance already at the last meeting.

                              CB Consumer Confidence – Consumer confidence likely increased to 125.0 from 122.1 thanks to passage of the tax legislation and the ongoing gains on Wall Street.

                              FOMC meeting starts today

                              Charts of the Day



                              Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

                              Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

                              Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

                              Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

                              Click HERE to READ more Market news.


                              Andria Pichidi
                              Market Analyst
                              HotForex


                              Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
                              HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers. Retail, IB and White Label Clients have the opportunity to access interbank spreads and liquidity via state of the art automated trading platforms.

                              Comment


                              • Date : 31st January 2017.

                                MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 31st January 2017.




                                FX News Today

                                European Fixed Income Outlook: Stock markets started to stabilise in Asia. Hang Seng and CSI 300 are little changed, the ASX 200 closed with a gain of 0.25%, but Japanese markets remained under pressure as the yen rose against the dollar and Nikkei and Topix dropped -0.83% and -1.15% respectively. U.K. stock futures are also in the red amid dollar weakness, but U.S. futures are recovering after yesterday’s decline. Investors had been taking profit as the months draws to a close and warnings over the vulnerability of markets to major corrections are getting louder, while confidence in the global growth outlook and improvements in corporate profits are underpinning sentiment. 10-year yields declined in Asia and the 10-year Treasury yield is also down -1.1 bp but holds above 2.7% as the focus turns to the FOMC announcement. Oil prices are down and the front end WTI future is trading around the USD 64 per barrel mark, while industrial metals reversed losses. Released overnight, U.K. GfK consumer confidence unexpectedly improved. Still to come, the European calendar has inflation data for Spain, France and the Eurozone as a whole, as well as German and Eurozone labour market data,

                                Australia’s CPI improved to a 1.9% y/y pace in Q4 (q/q, sa) from 1.8% in Q3. CPI grew 0.6% (m/m, sa) after an 0.6% gain in Q3. Both the annual and quarterly comparable gains slightly undershot projections. Growth in the annual core CPI measures was steady or faster: the trimmed mean CPI was 1.8% y/y in Q4 from 1.8% y/y in Q3. The weighted median CPI improved to 2.0% y/y in Q2 from 1.9% y/y in Q4. A gradual improvement is seen in the CPI, but growth rates remain either just below or at the bottom of the RBA’s 2.0% to 3.0% target band. The report is consistent with widespread expectations for the RBA to hold rates steady next week at 1.50%.

                                Main Macro Events Today

                                Eurozone Unemployment – German jobless figure falling to -17K in January, leaving the seasonally adjusted jobless number unchanged at a very low 5.5% y/y, while the Eurozone jobless rate for December is seen falling back to 8.7% y/y.

                                Eurozone CPI- is seen at 1.3% y/yfrom 1.4% y/y.

                                US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change – Private payrolls are projected to have risen 185k after the better than expected 250k climb in December.

                                Canadian GDP – November GDP is expected to rise 0.3% (m/m, sa) after the flat reading in October.

                                Crude Oil Inventories – expected at 0.1M barrels from 1.1M reported last week.

                                FOMC Statement & FED Rates – No changes are expected.

                                Charts of the Day



                                Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

                                Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

                                Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

                                Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

                                Click HERE to READ more Market news.


                                Andria Pichidi
                                Market Analyst
                                HotForex


                                Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
                                HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers. Retail, IB and White Label Clients have the opportunity to access interbank spreads and liquidity via state of the art automated trading platforms.

                                Comment


                                • Do you provide trading webinars based on your market analysis? How can I subscribe to it?

                                  Comment


                                  • Date : 1st February 2017.

                                    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 1st February 2017.




                                    FX News Today

                                    European Fixed Income Outlook: Asian stock markets mixed, with Japan outperforming after a stronger than expected manufacturing PMI reading, that still left the yen lower. The Nikkei is up 1.684%, the Topix gained 1.84 and the ASX 200 closed with a gain of 0.87%, but Chinese stocks headed south, as the Caixin China manufacturing PMI held steady in January and investors remain cautious as the lunar new year comes into view. Overall though Asian equities started February on a positive note after three days of sell off and following a late recovery on U.S. markets, after the FOMC seemed to set the stage for a rate hike in March yesterday with a statement that saw yields climbing higher. The 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 2.75% before falling back and is currently at 2.729%, up 2.4 bp. 10-year JGBs are up 1.5 bp at 0.090%, but stock markets seem to be adapting to higher yields and U.S. stock futures are moving higher as are FTSE 100 futures.

                                    FX Update: The has dollar has traded firmer in the wake of yesterday’s FOMC announcement, which brought the expected no-change decision in policy settings but was accompanied by upgrades in the Fed’s growth and inflation projections. The narrow trade-weighted USD index (DXY) is up 0.6% from four-session yesterday’s low at 88.78, logging a high of 89.31. EURUSD has clocked a two-day low at 1.2384 and USDJPY has lifted to a one-week high of 109.61. Wall Street managed to recover from weakness seen in the initial wake of the Fed’s guidance, while Asian stock markets, outside the case of Chinese markets, rallied. January manufacturing PMI reading out of Japan rose to 54.8 from 54.0, with new order growth at a four-year high, The Caixin manufacturing PMI for China met expectations at 51.5, unchanged from December.

                                    Main Macro Events Today

                                    Eurozone Manufacturing PMI – are likely to confirm preliminary numbers and confirm that while the headline rate fell back slightly in January, job creation remains strong.

                                    U.K. Manufacturing PMI – expected to come in with a headline reading of 56.5 after 56.3 in December, and the construction PMI at 52.0 after 52.2 in the month prior

                                    US ISM Manufacturing PMI – It’s likely to dip 0.5 points to 58.8 after jumping to 59.3 in December.

                                    Charts of the Day



                                    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

                                    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

                                    Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

                                    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

                                    Click HERE to READ more Market news.


                                    Andria Pichidi
                                    Market Analyst
                                    HotForex


                                    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
                                    HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers. Retail, IB and White Label Clients have the opportunity to access interbank spreads and liquidity via state of the art automated trading platforms.

                                    Comment


                                    • Date : 2nd February 2017.

                                      MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 2nd February 2017.




                                      FX News Today

                                      European Fixed Income Outlook: Bund yields are climbing higher in opening trade, with the 10-year trading at 0.726%, up 1.1 bp on the day, after the 10-year Treasury yield nearly touched 2.8% yesterday in the wake of the Atlanta Fed’s Q1 GDPNow estimate. The BoJ tried to ease the pressure on bond markets by stepping in with fresh purchase offers, and Treasury yields are also slightly down from the highs seen late yesterday. In Europe meanwhile ECB’s Nowotny added fresh pressure with a renewed call for an end to asset purchases, which he said will also see long yields rising. 2-year Schatz yields are up 0.2 bp at -0.554%, the 5-year is up 0.4 bp at 0.097%, leaving the curve steeper. Peripheral 10-year bonds are underperforming, and DAX and CAC 40 futures are heading south, as long yields rise and the EUR is trading above 1.25 against the dollar. FTSE 100 futures meanwhile pared earlier gains and are moving sideways. U.S. futures are mostly down, after a mixed session in Asia, where the BoJ’s action didn’t prevent a correction in equity markets.

                                      FX Update: USDJPY and yen crosses continued to gain today, with the Japanese currency underperforming concomitantly with the BoJ ramping up JGB purchases under its yield curve control framework to keep the 10-year yield at 0%. USDJPY clocked a nine-day high of 109.82, and EURJPY stormed to a 30-month high of 137.24. The BoJ bought Y450 bln of 5- to 10-year JGBs today, offering to buy unlimited quantities of 10-year paper. Reuters cited a BoJ official confirming that the actions enable the BOJ to firmly adhere to its current policy, and that it took steps after “large increase” in yields. The “large increase” was apparently the 10-year JGB yield having nudged above 0.1%. Other factors driving the yen lower include the rekindling of the global stock market rally and higher dollar yield advantage in USDJPY, following the Fed’s upgraded growth and inflation forecasts this week. Elsewhere, the euro has been showing moderate outperformance, led by the strong gain in EUR-JPY. EURUSD logged a high at 1.2523 late yesterday, and today found demand on dips under 1.2500. Last week’s 38-month high at 1.2537 is back within spitting distance.

                                      Main Macro Events Today

                                      UK Construction PMI – are likely to fell slightly in January, down to 52.00 from 52.2 seen last month.

                                      U.K. NFP & Unemployment rate – expected to increase by 180K from 148K,while the unemployment rate is expected to hold steady from 4.1% in October.

                                      US UoM Consumer Sentiment – The final January consumer sentiment report from the University of Michigan likely improved to 95.0 compared to the 94.4 preliminary.

                                      Charts of the Day



                                      Support and Resistance Levels



                                      Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

                                      Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

                                      Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

                                      Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

                                      Click HERE to READ more Market news.


                                      Andria Pichidi
                                      Market Analyst
                                      HotForex


                                      Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
                                      HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers. Retail, IB and White Label Clients have the opportunity to access interbank spreads and liquidity via state of the art automated trading platforms.

                                      Comment


                                      • Date : 5th February 2017.

                                        MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 5th February 2017.




                                        Main Macro Events This Week

                                        It was a wild ride last week which ended with a devilish 666 point drop on the Dow and a 6.5 bp surge in the 30-year Treasury bond rate. The bearish tone was not isolated to Wall Street as all almost indexes were down with losses ranging from 1% to nearly 5%. Bond yields were generally higher too, led by the 30-year Treasury’s 15 bp climb to 3.08%. Factors weighing on the markets were worries over central bank tightening, potentially rising inflation, disappointing earnings, technical, and bearish momentum. However, selloffs have been expected given record highs on equities and still low rates on bonds, so it’s no time to panic. Fundamentals remain bullish and the FOMC isn’t going to panic by accelerating its policy path. However, all is not lost. Friday’s 666 point decline pales in comparison to the near 7200 point gain since President Trump’s election. Fundamentals point to strong economic growth this year, with the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate pointing to a 5.4% rate of growth in Q1.

                                        United States: Markets are likely to remain shaky as the new week begins with buyers waiting for the dust to settle before stepping back in. Though the “Nunes memo” wasn’t the catalyst for the plunge on Wall Street, it did keep potential dip buyers away. The most important indicator will be the January services ISM (Monday), expected to edge up to 57.0 (median 56.6) from a revised 56.0 in December. The trade deficit (Tuesday) should widen for a fifth straight month, to -$52.7 bln (median -$52.0 bln)from -$50.5 bln. Net exports were a big drag in the recent Q4 GDP report, though which was a function of a large increase in imports, reflective of the strength in consumption. Other releases include December JOLTS (Tuesday), consumer credit (Wednesday), jobless claims (Thursday), and wholesale trade (Friday). earnings season continues with Pharma’s, Disney and BP taking centre stage. Fedspeak continues and new Chair Powell takes the hot seat officially.

                                        Canada: January employment (Friday), expected to show a 20.0k gain after the 78.6k surge in December and 79.5k rise in November. The unemployment rate is projected to hold steady at 5.7%, which is the lowest for the current series that goes back to 1976. Wages will again be in the spotlight, with the average hourly wage projected to 3.0% y/y from 2.7% y/y in December. The trade balance (Tuesday) is expected to narrow to -C$2.1 bln in December from -C$2.5 bln in November. Export values are seen growing 2.0% m/m after the 3.7% surge in November. Housing starts (Thursday) are anticipated to slow further to a 210.0k unit pace in January from 217.0k in December. Building permits (Wednesday) are projected to expand 2.0% in December after the 7.7% tumble in November. The December new home price index (Thursday) is expected to rise 0.1% m/m after the 0.1% gain in November. The January Ivey PMI is due (Tuesday).

                                        Europe: The calendar quiets after last week’s flurry of releases, giving traders a lot of time to assess the volatile market conditions. And the few reports on tap won’t change the overall outlook for the economy, or the ECB. Growth surprised on the upside in 2017 and while confidence data remains robust, we expect a slowdown in momentum this year with political risks, including Italian elections and Brexit talks, looming on the horizon. The European calendar has German manufacturing orders (Tuesday), seen rebounding in December and rising 0.4% m/m (median 0.7%) after correcting -0.4% m/m in November. German industrial production for December (Wednesday), meanwhile, is seen falling -0.8 m/m (median -0.6%) after much stronger than expected growth of 3.4% m/m in November. Finally, Germany has December trade (Wednesday) and overall data are expected to confirm a slight deceleration in the quarterly GDP growth rate in Q4. For the Eurozone as a whole, the final readings of services and composite PMIs are expected to confirm preliminary readings of 57.6 and 58.6, respectively, signaling a robust pace of expansion at the start of 2018. The calendar also has Eurozone December retail sales, French and Italy production numbers, French trade and Italian inflation.

                                        UK: The pound closed out January with just over a net 5.0% gain against the dollar, the biggest monthly advance Her Majesty’s currency has seen since July 2010. The outperformance was driven by expectations for the BoE to make a hawkish shift in policy guidance at its MPC meeting this week. the February meeting of the BoE’s Monetary Policy Meeting (announcing Thursday), which will be accompanied by the release of the central bank’s quarterly inflation report. While the BoE is widely expected to leave the repo rate at 0.5% and QE totals unchanged, the meeting is likely to mark a sea change in approach after BoE Governor Carney last week forewarned that the central bank is beginning to turn its focus to a more conventional stance of limiting inflation. The inflation report is likely see the BoE upgrade its growth assessment, particularly the scope for self-sustaining private sector growth while highlighting a tightening labour market and rising wages. As for inflation, the marked ascent in the pound will likely see the BoE downgrade nearer-term CPI projections, but at the same time note increasing risk for second round inflationary pressures as labour markets tighten and spare capacity shrinks. The BoE will also likely point to factory selling prices having hit their highest rate of gain since 1984.Data this week includes the release of the January services PMI (Monday), which will follow sub-forecast construction and manufacturing PMI surveys for the same month. We expect the headline services PMI to dip slightly, to 54.0 (median same) from 54.2 in December. Production data for December is also up this week (Friday), where we anticipate a 0.9% m/m decline

                                        Japan: The December current account surplus (Thursday) is expected to narrow to JPY 1,000 bln from 1,347 bln. January bank loan figures are also due Thursday. The December tertiary industry index (Friday) should rise 0.5% m/m from the prior 1.1% rise.

                                        China: The January trade report (Thursday) should reveal a narrowed $53.0 bln surplus, from $54.7 in December. January CPI (Friday) is penciled in at up 1.6% y/y from 1.8%, while January PPI (Friday) should ease to 4.3% y/y from 4.9%. Services PMI was up significantly earlier at 54.7.

                                        Australia: The Reserve Bank of Australia meeting (Tuesday) is the focus. We expect no change to the current 1.50% rate setting. The Bank’s quarterly statement on monetary policy will be released (Friday), which will detail the current growth and inflation projections. Governor Lowe speaks (Thursday) at the A50 Australian Economic Forum dinner in Sydney. The trade deficit (Tuesday) is expected to improve to -A$100 mln in December from -A$628 mln in November. Retail sales (Tuesday) are seen falling 0.5% (m/m, sa) in December after the 1.2% bounce in November. Housing investment (Friday) is projected to drop 2.0% (m/m, sa) in December after the 2.1% jump in November.

                                        Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

                                        Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

                                        Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

                                        Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

                                        Click HERE to READ more Market news.


                                        Stuart Cowell
                                        Senior Market Analyst
                                        HotForex


                                        Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
                                        HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers. Retail, IB and White Label Clients have the opportunity to access interbank spreads and liquidity via state of the art automated trading platforms.

                                        Comment


                                        • Date : 6th February 2017.

                                          MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 6th February 2017.




                                          FX News Today

                                          Asian Wrap : The sell off in stock markets deepened in Asia overnight, with Nikkei, Topix and Hang Seng loosing more than 4%, the ASX 200 more than 3%, the CSI nearly 3%. With this level of correction bond markets benefited from a flight to safety and yields declined markedly, after yesterday’s fresh move higher. With the global equity rout deepening, the question is will central bankers take note and with the change at the top of the Fed speculation that the sell off will halt the rise in rates is mounting. In Japan Kuroda told parliament that it would be inappropriate to raise the yield target even by a small margin. Meanwhile focus has shifted to plunge in a popular exchange traded fund, that was designed to bet against volatility and tanked in after hour trade.

                                          FX Update: The dollar has held firm, and the yen firmer amid a persisting global risk aversion theme. Japan’s Nikkei closed with a 4.8% loss, and was showing intraday losses of over 6% at the lows, while the Shanghai Composite and Australia’s ASX 200 racked up losses of over 3%. The narrow trade-weighted USD index (DXY) logged a two-week high at 89.72 before settling around the 89.50 mark, which is still just over 1% from the low seen last Friday. USDJPY clocked an eight-day low at 108.50 as Asia as the yen continued to find safe haven bids as global stock markets continued to head south. Driving risk aversion is spiking sovereign yields and the concomitant rise inflation expectations and prospects for the Fed to lead key central banks to take away monetary policy stimulus. Expectations are for USDJPY to grind lower over the coming days and weeks, though see risk of there being greater magnitude of declines in AUDJPY, which tends to correlate strongly with global stock market direction. Today’s strongest currency is the NZD ahead of tomorrows rate decision.

                                          German Factory Orders: German manufacturing orders jumped 3.8% m/m in December, much more than anticipated and with November revised up to -0.1% m/m from -0.4% m/m reported initially. An exceptionally strong number that points to ongoing strong growth in manufacturing. The statistical office reported that the main impulses came from export orders and here mainly orders from other Eurozone countries, which jumped sharply higher at the end of the year.

                                          Main Macro Events Today

                                          US Trade Balance – a further fall to $-52.0 bln from $-50.5bln for the December number

                                          CAD Ivey PMI – Expected to rise from 60.4 to 61.0

                                          NZD Jobs Data – Q4 Employment Change (No Change expected -0.2%) , Unemployment (No Change expected 4.6%) and Participation Rate (a fall to 70.8% from 71.1%)


                                          Charts of the Day





                                          Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

                                          Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

                                          Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

                                          Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

                                          Click HERE to READ more Market news.


                                          Stuart Cowell
                                          Senior Market Analyst
                                          HotForex


                                          Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
                                          HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers. Retail, IB and White Label Clients have the opportunity to access interbank spreads and liquidity via state of the art automated trading platforms.

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