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AMEGA - daily technical analysis

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  • AmegaFX
    started a topic AMEGA - daily technical analysis

    AMEGA - daily technical analysis



    Dear Visitors, Traders and investors!
    I am an official representative of the analytics department at the Broker Company AMEGA!

    Weprovidedaily analytics, predictions and reviews of the foreign exchange market to support our
    existing and potential traders.

    You can familiarize yourself with our full range of financial instruments and other sections of financial
    analytics on our official website: www.amegafx.com

    Official branch

    I welcome suggests from you and would be happy to answer any questions you may have.




    Wishing you successful trading!
    Yours Faithfully,
    Forex Broker AMEGA


  • AmegaFX
    replied
    Review AUD/USD 16.10.2018

    Medium-term trend: Bullish

    After the price is fixed upper the control resistance zone №1 0.71095-0.71033 the medium-term trend has changed to the bull market with the aim to the target zone 0.71783-0.71658. The probability of reaching the target zone is about 75%. Any price reduction is considered like corrective. The best prices to try to have a long position are the control resistance zone №2 0.70860-0.70798. In case of the price is fixed below the control resistance zone №2 the medium-term trend will be changed to the bear market and all long positions should be closed.



    Trading recommendation:

    It’s recommended to try to have a long position near the resistance zone 0.71173-0.71142 and the control resistance zone №2 0.70860-0.70798 with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders» at least on timeframe M15.
    The control resistance zone №2 and the resistance zone are constructed from the current maximum. If this maximum changes by n points the zones should also be shifted n points up. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.
    All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

    Target zone:

    Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points
    External border – Initial margin in points

    Control resistance zone – the half from the target zone
    Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

    Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

    Leave a comment:


  • AmegaFX
    replied
    Review USOIL 12.10.2018

    Medium-term trend: Bearish

    The bear market is continuing. The price has already reached the target zone №1 73.790-73.480, the target zone №2 71.930-71.775 and it has been fixed below the zone. The probability of reaching the target zone №3 70.380-70.070 is about 70%. The best prices to try to have a short position are the control resistance zone 72.205-72.050. In case of the price is fixed upper the control resistance zone the medium-term trend will be changed to the bull market and all short positions should be closed.



    Trading recommendation:

    It’s recommended to try to have a short position near the resistance zone 71.352-71.275 (85 points from current minimum) and the control resistance zone 72.205-72.050 (170 points from current minimum) with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders» at least on M15.
    The control resistance zone and resistance zone are constructed from the current minimum. If this minimum changes by n points the zones should also be shifted n points down. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.
    All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

    Target zone:

    Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points
    External border – Initial margin in points

    Control resistance zone ¬¬– the half from the target zone
    Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

    Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

    Leave a comment:


  • AmegaFX
    replied
    Review GOLD 4.10.2018

    Medium-term trend: Bullish

    After the price is fixed upper the control resistance zone №1 1198.65-1197.10 the medium-term trend has changed to the bull market with the aim to the target zone 1214.85-1211.75. The probability of reaching the target zone is about 70%. Any price reduction is considered like corrective. The best prices to try to have a long position are the control resistance zone №2 1192.76-1191.21. In case of the price is fixed below the control resistance zone №2 the medium-term trend will be changed to the bear market and all long positions should be closed.



    Trading recommendation:

    It’s recommended to try to have a long position near the control resistance zone №2 1192.76-1191.21 (170 points from current maximum) with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders» at least on timeframe M15.
    The control resistance zone №2 is constructed from the current maximum. If this maximum changes by n points the zone should also be shifted n points up. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.

    All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.
    Target zone:

    Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points
    External border – Initial margin in points

    Control resistance zone – the half from the target zone
    Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

    Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

    Leave a comment:


  • AmegaFX
    replied
    Review GBP/USD 28.09.2018

    Medium-term trend: Bearish

    The bear market is continuing. The price has already tested the control resistance zone №1 1.31862-1.31742 and now it’s going to the target zone №1 1.30577-1.30337. The best prices for selling have already been given near the control resistance zone №1. Therefore it’s recommended to wait any corrective movement and after again try to have a short position from the zones with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders» at least on timeframe M15. In case of the price is fixed upper the control resistance zone №1 the medium-term trend will be changed to the bull market and all short positions should be closed.



    Trading recommendation:

    It’s recommended to wait any corrective movement and after again try to have a short position from the zones with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders» at least on timeframe M15.
    The control resistance zone №1 is constructed from the current minimum. If this minimum changes by n points the zone should also be shifted n points down. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.

    All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

    Target zone:

    Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points
    External border – Initial margin in points

    Control resistance zone ¬¬– the half from the target zone
    Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

    Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA







    Leave a comment:


  • AmegaFX
    replied
    Review GBP/USD 21.09.2018

    Medium-term trend: Bullish

    The bull market is continuing. The price has already reached the target zone №1 1.30489-1.30249, the target zone №2 1.31809-1.31689, the target zone №3 1.33129-1.32889 and it is going to the target zone №4 1.34449-1.34329. Any price reduction is considered like corrective. The best prices to try to have a long position are the control resistance zone 1.31777-1.31657. In case of the price is fixed below the control resistance zone the medium-term trend will be changed to the bear market and all long positions should be closed.



    Trading recommendation:

    It’s recommended to try to have a long position near the control resistance zone 1.31777-1.31657 with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders» at least on timeframe M15.
    The control resistance zone is constructed from the current maximum. If this maximum changes by n points the zone should also be shifted n points up. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.

    All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

    Target zone:

    Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points
    External border – Initial margin in points

    Control resistance zone – the half from the target zone
    Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

    Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

    Leave a comment:


  • AmegaFX
    replied
    Review BTC/USD 19.09.2018

    Medium-term trend: Bearish

    The bear market is continuing. The price has already reached the target zone №1 6443.75-6347.79 and it has been fixed below the zone. The probability of reaching the target zone №2 5867.91-5819.93 is about 70%. The best prices to try to have a short position are the control resistance zone 6714.70-6666.72. In case of the price is fixed upper the control resistance zone the medium-term trend will be changed to the bull market and all short positions should be closed.



    Trading recommendation:

    It’s recommended to try to have a short position near the control resistance zone 6714.70-6666.72 with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders» at least on timeframe M15.
    The control resistance zone is constructed from the current minimum. If this minimum changes by n points the zone should also be shifted n points down. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.

    All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

    Target zone:

    Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points
    External border – Initial margin in points

    Control resistance zone ¬¬– the half from the target zone
    Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

    Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA





    Leave a comment:


  • AmegaFX
    replied
    Review EUR/USD 14.09.2018

    Medium-term trend: Bullish

    After the price is fixed upper the control resistance zone №1 1.16268-1.16176 the medium-term trend has changed to the bull market with the aim to the target zone 1.17280-1.17096. The probability of reaching the target zone is about 75%. Any price reduction is considered like corrective. The best prices to try to have a long position are the control resistance zone №2 1.16090-1.15998. In case of the price is fixed below the control resistance zone №2 the medium-term trend will be changed to the bear market and all long positions should be closed.


    Trading recommendation:

    It’s recommended to try to have a long position near the resistance zone 1.16550-1.16504 and the control resistance zone №2 1.16090-1.15998 with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders» at least on timeframe M15.
    The control resistance zone №2 and the resistance zone are constructed from the current maximum. If this maximum changes by n points the zones should also be shifted n points up. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.

    All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

    Target zone:

    Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points
    External border – Initial margin in points

    Control resistance zone **– the half from the target zone
    Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

    Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

    Leave a comment:


  • AmegaFX
    replied
    Review EUR/USD 11.09.2018

    Medium-term trend: Bearish

    The bear market is continuing. The price has already reached the target zone №1 1.15492-1.15308 but it hasn’t been fixed below the zone and now it’s near the control resistance zone №2 1.16268-1.16176. Until the price was fixed above this zone, we can consider only short positions. The best prices to try to have a short position are the control resistance zone №2. In case of the price is fixed upper the control resistance zone №2 the medium-term trend will be changed to the bull market and all short positions should be closed.



    Trading recommendation:
    It’s recommended to try to have a short position near the control resistance zone №2 1.16268-1.16176 with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders» at least on timeframe M15.
    The control resistance zone №2 is constructed from the current minimum. If this minimum changes by n points the zone should also be shifted n points down. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.

    All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

    Target zone:
    Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points
    External border – Initial margin in points

    Control resistance zone **– the half from the target zone
    Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

    Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

    Leave a comment:


  • AmegaFX
    replied
    Review GBP/USD 5.09.2018

    Medium-term trend: Bearish

    After the price is fixed below the control resistance zone №1 1.29229-1.29109 the medium-term trend has changed to the bear market with the aim to the target zone 1.28029-1.27789. The probability of reaching the target zone is about 70%. Any price growth is considered like corrective. The best prices to try to have a short position are the control resistance zone №2 1.29421-1.29301. In case of the price is fixed upper the control resistance zone №2 the medium-term trend will be changed to the bull market and all short positions should be closed.



    Trading recommendation:

    It’s recommended to try to have a short position near the resistance zone 1.28761-1.28701 and the control resistance zone №2 1.29421-1.29301 with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders» at least on M15.
    The control resistance zone №2 and resistance zone are constructed from the current minimum. If this minimum changes by n points the zones should also be shifted n points down. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.
    All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

    Target zone:

    Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points
    External border – Initial margin in points

    Control resistance zone **– the half from the target zone
    Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

    Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

    Leave a comment:


  • AmegaFX
    replied
    Review GOLD 28.08.2018

    Medium-term trend: Bullish

    The bull market is continuing. The price has already reached the target zone №1 1211.41-1209.86, it has tested the control resistance zone №1 1186.11-1184.56 and it has reached the target zone №2 1211.41-1209.86. The next aim is the target zone №3 1228.46-1225.36. Any price reduction is considered like corrective. The best prices to try to have a long position are the control resistance zone №2 1196.90-1195.35. In case of the price is fixed below the control resistance zone №2 the medium-term trend will be changed to the bear market and all long positions should be closed.



    Trading recommendation:
    It’s recommended to try to have a long position near the control resistance zone №2 1196.90-1195.35 with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders».
    The control resistance zone №2 is constructed from the current maximum. If this maximum changes by n points the zone should also be shifted n points up. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.

    All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

    Target zone:

    Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points
    External border – Initial margin in points

    Control resistance zone **– the half from the target zone
    Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

    Source:Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

    Leave a comment:


  • AmegaFX
    replied
    Review EUR/USD 23.08.2018
    Medium-term trend: Bullish
    The bull market is continuing. The price has already reached the target zone №1 1.16042-1.15950 and it is going to the target zone №2 1.17054-1.16870 . Any price reduction is considered like corrective. The best prices to try to have a long position are the control resistance zone 1.15304-1.15212. In case of the price is fixed below the control resistance zone the medium-term trend will be changed to the bear market and all long positions should be closed.

    Trading recommendation:
    It’s recommended to try to have a long position near the control resistance zone 1.15304-1.15212 with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders».
    The control resistance zone is constructed from the current maximum. If this maximum changes by n points the zone should also be shifted n points up. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.

    All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.
    Target zone:
    Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points
    External border – Initial margin in points

    Control resistance zone **– the half from the target zone
    Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

    Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

    Leave a comment:


  • AmegaFX
    replied
    Review GBP/USD 21.08.2018

    Medium-term trend: Bullish

    After the price is fixed upper the control resistance zone №1 1.27934-1.27814 the medium-term trend has changed to the bull market with the aim to the target zone 1.29254-1.29014. The probability of reaching the target zone is about 75%. Any price reduction is considered like corrective. The best prices to try to have a long position are the control resistance zone №2 1.27209-1.27089. In case of the price is fixed below the control resistance zone №2 the medium-term trend will be changed to the bear market and all long positions should be closed.



    Trading recommendation:

    It’s recommended to try to have a long position near the resistance zone 1.27809-1.27749 and the control resistance zone №2 1.27209-1.27089 with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders».
    The control resistance zone №2 and the resistance zone are constructed from the current maximum. If this maximum changes by n points the zones should also be shifted n points up. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.
    All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

    Target zone:

    Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points
    External border – Initial margin in points

    Control resistance zone **– the half from the target zone
    Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

    Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

    Leave a comment:


  • AmegaFX
    replied
    Review EUR/USD 20.08.2018
    Medium-term trend: Bullish
    After the price is fixed upper the control resistance zone №1 1.14018-1.13926 the medium-term trend has changed to the bull market with the aim to the target zone 1.15030-1.14846. The probability of reaching the target zone is about 80%. Any price reduction is considered like corrective. The best prices to try to have a long position are the control resistance zone №2 1.13525-1.13433. In case of the price is fixed below the control resistance zone №2 the medium-term trend will be changed to the bear market and all long positions should be closed.

    Trading recommendation:
    It’s recommended to try to have a long position near the control resistance zone №2 with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders».
    The control resistance zone №2 is constructed from the current maximum. If this maximum changes by n points the zones should also be shifted n points up. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.
    All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.
    Target zone:
    Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points
    External border – Initial margin in points

    Control resistance zone **– the half from the target zone
    Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

    Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

    Leave a comment:


  • AmegaFX
    replied
    Review EUR/USD 17.08.2018

    Long-term trend: Bearish

    Medium-term trend: Bearish

    The bear market is continuing. Any price growth is considered like corrective. The price has already reached the target zone №1 1.15622-1.15438, the target zone №2 1.14518-1.14426 and the target zone №3 1.13598-1.13414. The next aim is the target zone №4 1.12494-1.12402. The best prices to try to have a short position are the control resistance zone 1.14018-1.13926. In case of the price is fixed upper the control resistance zone the medium-term trend will be changed to the bull market and all short positions should be closed.



    Trading recommendations: It’s recommended to try to have a short position after any corrective movement with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders». The best prices to try to have a short position are the control resistance zone 1.14018-1.13926.
    The control resistance zone is constructed from the current minimum. If this minimum changes by n points the zones should also be shifted n points down. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.

    All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

    Leave a comment:


  • AmegaFX
    replied
    Review NZD/USD 9.08.2018
    Long-term trend: Bear
    Medium-term trend: Bear
    After the price is fixed below the control resistance zone №1 0.67953-0.67898 the medium-term trend has changed to the bear market. After the price has rebounded the control resistance zone №2 the price has already reached the target zone №1 0.67403-0.67293 and the target zone №2 0.66743-0.66688 with the potential to reach the target zone №3 0.66193-0.66083. The best prices to try to have a short position are the control resistance zone №2 0.67242-0.67187. In case of the price is fixed upper the control resistance zone №2 the medium-term trend will be changed to the bull market and all short positions should be closed.

    Trading recommendations:
    It’s recommended to try to have a short position near the control resistance zone №2 with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders».
    The control resistance zone №2 is constructed from the current minimum. If this minimum changes by n points the zones should also be shifted n points down. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.
    All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

    Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

    Leave a comment:


  • AmegaFX
    replied
    Review AUD/USD 7.08.2018

    Long-term trend: Bear

    Medium-term trend: Bear

    After the price is fixed below control resistance zone №1 0.74013-0.73951 the medium-term trend has changed to the bear market with the aim to target zone 0.73388-0.73263. The probability of reaching this zone is about 70%. The best selling prices have already been received from control resistance zone №2 0.74385-0.74323. Price growth is considered like corrective.



    Trading recommendations: It’s recommended to try to have a short position from control resistance zone №3 0.74166-074104 with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders». In case of the price is fixed upper control resistance zone №3 the medium-term trend will be changed to the bull market and all short positions should be closed.
    The resistance zone 0.73822-0.73791 and control resistance zone №3 are constructed from the current minimum. If this minimum changes by n points the zones should also be shifted n points down. The risk/reward ratio should be at least 1/3.

    Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

    Leave a comment:


  • AmegaFX
    replied
    A comprehensive analysis of the USDCHF with 30.07.2018 for 03.08.2018

    In our comprehensive weekly review, we will review the main fundamental and technical factors that affect the USDCHF, as well as possible options for the development of the market situation.
    Last week, from 23 to 27 July, the Swiss franc was trading in line with the short-term bullish trend:



    This week, the US Federal reserve will announce its decision on the interest rate, which most often causes significant volatility.

    Technical analysis
    The long-term trend of USDCHF has been bearish for 18 years, since 2000. There are some signs of a possible reversal, since 2011 from 0.70157 the price slowly rises. The medium-term bullish trend from February 2018 May be changing the long-term trend, turning from bearish to bullish. Consider the continuation of the medium-term bullish trend as the most likely forecast.

    Option № 1 - bullish trend
    Let's pay attention to the D1 chart: for two consecutive months, in June and July, the Alligator lines are intertwined. Prices are near the important psychological mark of 1.00000. This happens when the trend is broken, before the powerful price movements. You have to be prepared for this.



    Long positions are considered when the price moves above 0.99777.

    Option № 2 - bearish trend
    The H4 chart shows a short-term bearish trend since mid-July. And it hasn't really turned around yet.



    Short positions are possible when the true breakout of the level of 0.99036.

    Option № 3 - side price movement
    Not ruling out this option if strong trading signals on the buying (selling) will not remain out of the market.

    Fundamental analysis
    The most significant events of the weekly economic calendar:

    Tuesday, July 31, 2018
    • Core Personal Consumption Expenditure - Price Index (USA)
    Wednesday, August 1, 2018
    • ADP Employment Change (USA)
    • Fed's Monetary Policy Statement
    • Fed Interest Rate Decision
    • Fed Pace of MBS Purchase Program
    • Fed Pace of Treasury Purchase Program
    Thursday, August 2, 2018
    • Initial Jobless Claims (USA)
    Friday, August 3, 2018
    • Average Hourly Earnings (USA)
    • Nonfarm Payrolls (USA)
    • Trade Balance (USA)
    • ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (USA)

    Before the news should be ready for a powerful price fluctuations.
    Follow our daily analytical reviews.

    Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of AMEGA brokerage company

    Leave a comment:


  • AmegaFX
    replied
    Review EUR/JPY 31.07.2018

    Fundamental analysis: short-term bearish trend has turned around, prices are moving up again. Today promises to be interesting – a lot of important news on the European Union and Japan – and therefore will be able to earn on volatility. Japan: news (a BoJ Monetary Policy Statement and the BoJ Interest Rate Decision) pushed the price up significantly. Europe: we expect the value of Gross Domestic Product, as well as the Consumer Price Index.

    Technical analysis: the long-term trend is bullish since 2012. On the H4 chart, we will pay attention to the behavior of the Alligator: the lines are intertwined, and the candles consistently break through all three lines. This happens when you change the trend.



    Trading recommendations: we follow the short-term bullish trend, the long positions are above 130.504. Cancellation of this scenario and correspondingly short positions - below the level of 129.193.

    Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

    Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

    Leave a comment:


  • AmegaFX
    replied
    Review EUR/USD 30.07.2018

    Fundamental analysis: the Swiss franc traded close to the psychologically important level of 1.00000. "Trade wars", as the most significant factor for the volatility of the us dollar, have been a little quiet lately, as a result, the volatility is also decreasing. Important economic news on the US and Switzerland is not expected today.

    Technical analysis: the long-term trend has been bearish for 18 years (since 2000). Let's pay attention to the D1 chart – the Alligator lines have been intertwined for the third week in a row, there is no pronounced trend. Also note that the chart begins to emerge classic trend reversal figure "Head and shoulders". Many traders will want to play down – and this may turn out to be a trap.



    Trading recommendations: we follow the short-term bear trend. Short positions below 0.98921. Long positions is at a reliable level breakdown 0.99655.

    Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

    Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

    Leave a comment:

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