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Hotforex – Daily Market Analysis

HFblogNews

Active member
Date : 13th September 2021.

Market Update – September 13 – Tech stocks fall, USD up.



Market News
• USD (USDIndex 92.75) up as the rise in inflation and recovery in risk appetite weighed on bonds and as the policy outlook lifts US Treasury Yields, hence supporting USD. There have been a string of voices calling for Fed tapering to begin sooner rather than later, even if Covid-19 cases are surging. But as the ECB showed, one can wrap a taper in dovish guidance on rates and thus prevent a taper tantrum.
Equities struggled again, with China’s tech sector once again hit hard by the country’s regulatory clampdown amid a report that officials want to break up A . Online platforms have also been told to protect the rights of workers.
JPN225 down (-0.30%). But US equities up for the day, with USA500.F bottomed at the 4470-4477 area. USA100 declined -0.87%, along with the USA30.
Toyota downgraded projections for this year’s vehicle production numbers and China issued warnings that the chip shortage could last a while which will all add to the arguments of those saying ultra-accommodative monetary policies are only adding to existing imbalances between demand and supply that are pushing up prices at the moment.
Apple down – follows “unfavourable” court ruling related to its app store, just days before it unveils the new iPhone line up. down, with Google Play revenue also in doubt. down to 735.11 low.
Yields down again, with 10-year -1.4 bp at 1.33%.
• The CHF is lower to start the week, EUR and GBP have also dropped back against a largely stronger US Dollar.
USOil up to $70.17, supported by growing signs of supply tightness in the US as a result of Hurricane Ida. About 3/4 of the US Gulf’s offshore oil production has remained halted since late August.
YesterdaySNB vice-president Zurbruegg said over the weekend that negative interest rates remain necessary to keep a lid on the currency, which suggests a steady hand announcement for Switzerland. In the US, Democrats are set to float 26.5% Corporate Tax.
Today – A cautious start to a week that will bring key inflation data for the US and the UK ahead of next week’s central bank announcement. The SNB decision is also coming into view.


Biggest Mover @ (06:30 GMT) EURCAD (-0.38%) dip from1.4990 to 1.4924. Faster MAs aligned lower, MACD signal lines steady at 0, implying indecision, but RSI at 41. H1 ATR 0.0015, Daily ATR 0.00839.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Click to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click to register for FREE!



Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer:
This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
 

HFblogNews

Active member
Date : 14th September 2021.

Market update – September 14 – Aussie dives!



Market News

  • The Treasury market holds a modest bid except in Australia and New Zealand.
  • RBA’s Lowe pushed back against rate hike expectations in a bid to separate QE tapering plans from the outlook on interest rates.
  • Australia house price data & Business confidence data came in higher than expected, and coupled with Lowe’s assuring words on rates the numbers still helped the ASX to gain 0.2%.
  • Bonds were supported by the strength seen in last week’s 3-, 10-, and 30-year auctions, as well as by expectations the FOMC will not announce a QE tapering next week.
  • Equities are mixed with solid 0.76% gains on the USA30 amid strength in energy as oil stocks surged. The USA500 posted a 0.23% increase, while the USA100 was weaker, slipping -0.07% amid declines in Chinese ADRs amid further crackdowns, this time on ANT Group. Japanese indexes are near 31-year highs and JPN225 is also currently up at 0.5% and 0.7% respectively. GER30 and UK100 futures are up.
  • The AUD and NZD declined along with yields after Lowe’s remarks. USDJPY lifted to 110.08, amid a largely weaker Yen.
  • USOil up to $70.88, as a storm hitting the Gulf of Mexico was upgraded to a Hurricane.
  • Today’s UK labour market report presented an unemployment rate down to 4.6% in the three months to July – as expected. Earnings growth eased somewhat, but remained very strong. –Strong numbers that will add to the arguments of the hawkish camp at the BoE as officials ponder strategies to exit from QE.
Today –US inflation numbers today will be in focus for markets and investors are likely to hold back ahead of the release.



Biggest Mover @ (06:30 GMT) GBPAUD (+0.61%) spiked to 1.8890 from 1.8760. Faster MAs aligned higher, MACD signal lines are positively configured as RSI broke above 70 barrier, suggesting that bullish bias strengthens. H1 ATR 0.0022, Daily ATR 0.01063.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Click to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click to register for FREE!



Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer:
This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
 

HFblogNews

Active member
Date : 15th September 2021.

Market update – September 15 – Stocks plunging again.



Market News

  • Treasury yields plunged & Stock markets struggled against the background of weaker data. Buy stops were triggered on the way south for yields and added to the richening in bonds.
  • Topix and JPN225 have lost -1.15% and -0.46% respectively. USA500 is posted a 0.6% decrease, USA100 down -0.45% while the USA30 was the weakest, slipping -0.84% as hefty declines were registered in energy, materials, industrials, and financials.
  • China data round disappoints. – Retail sales down, Growth slowdown, Industrial Production weaker and investment growth also missed expectations. – The data round for China highlighted the impact of virus developments and added to the US inflation miss that left investors scaling back tapering concerns as soon as next week’s policy meeting.
  • British inflation surged last month to its highest level since March 2012, i.e. 3.2% y/y.
  • Fitch said that numerous sectors could be exposed to heightened credit risk if China’s No.2 property developer were to default, although the overall impact on the banking sector would be manageable. – Evergrande – fell for the 3rd consecutive day, losing as much as 5.1% to their lowest since January 2014.
  • Amazon to hire 125,000 people in advance of the holiday shopping season.
  • Apple unveiled an array of new hardware offerings.
  • Chevron to triple its modest spending on green energy by 2028.
  • The JPY strengthened as risk aversion picked up and USDJPY dropped back to 109.59.
  • The EUR and GBP are little changed against the Dollar – EURUSD just over the 1.18 mark and Cable at 1.3823.
  • USOil supported above $70.40, on a larger than expected drawdown in crude oil stocks in the United States.
  • Gold jumped initially to 1,808 but is currently back to the 1800 floor, which it hit on prospects for lower interest rates.
Today: There is a lot on today’s calendar, including Canadian Inflation, US August Industrial Production, Import and Export prices and September Empire State index.



Biggest Mover @ (06:30 GMT) USA30 dipped to 34,501 from 35,000. Currently the asset sustains above 34560 however BB extends lower on the daily basis with RSI at 39 and slipping and MACD turning negative implying an increase of the negative bias in themedium term. Daily ATR 269.9.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Click to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click to register for FREE!



Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer:
This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
 

HFblogNews

Active member
Date : 16th September 2021.

Market update – September 16 – Oil spikes to $72.50.



Market News

  • European bond markets already underperformed yesterday, after a jump in UK inflation and as markets continue to evaluate last week’s ECB move. The US Treasury rate is down, but yields in Australia and New Zealand jumped.
  • Solid data on industrial production and a big bounce in the Empire State manufacturing index, along with weaker than expected trade prices, contributed to the improved outlook. The USA500 bounced 0.85%, with the USA100 0.82% firmer, while the USA30 was up 0.68%. The JPN225 lost -0.75%, while GER30 and UK100 futures are up 0.08% and down -0.02% respectively, which suggests a cautious start to the session.
  • Data: New Zealand Q2 GDP data much stronger than expected, Australia’s employment report highlights lockdown impact & Japan’s trade data, which showed a huge deficit, as export growth slowed, also added to the negative risk backdrop. Canada’s CPI rose to a 4.1% pace in August from the 3.7% growth rate (y/y, nsa) in July.
  • Tech shares got a solid push from Microsoft which announced a boost to quarterly dividends and an increase in share buybacks.
  • The JPY strengthened and USDJPY declined to 109.20.
  • The EUR and GBP declined against a largely stronger USD, which was only beaten by the JPY.
  • USOil spiked to $72.84, albeit from a further reduction in stockpiles, which helped lift the indexes. In the European open it gapped down slightly at $72.38.
  • Gold down for a 2nd consecutive day. Currently at $1,784.
Today: Today’s data calendar will be closely tracked, with weekly jobless claims and the Philly index on tap, though none of the reports should impact the outlook on near term Fed policy. The August retail sales report is the highlight.



Biggest Mover @ (06:30 GMT) USOIL rallied to $72.84. Fast MAs flattened implying to short term correction, howveer the outlook holds positive as RSI is at 71 and MACD lines way above neutral zone and extending hgher. ATR (Daily) at 1.69 and ATR (H1) at 0.34.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Click to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click to register for FREE!



Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer:
This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
 

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