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AUD/USD: wave analysis 25.06.2018

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offers the latest release of analytics on the AUD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The downward trend is still strong.

On the H4 chart a downtrend is forming as the first higher-level wave 1 of (5). At the moment, apparently, the fifth wave of the lower level v of 1 is developing, within which the upward correction (iv) of v has ended. If the assumption is true, then the fall of the pair will continue to the level of 0.7300. The critical level and stop-loss level for this scenario are both will be at 0.7451.





Main scenario

Short positions will become relevant during the corrections, below the level of 0.7451 with the target of 0.7300. Term of realization: 5-7 days.

Alternative scenario

Breakout of the level of 0.7451 will allow the pair to continue its growth to the area of 0.7483-0.7516 and above.

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USD/JPY: wave analysis 27.06.2018

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offers the latest release of analytics on the USD/JPY for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Correction was completed; the probability of growth is high.

On the H4 chart the third wave of the higher level 3 of (C) is forming. At the moment, apparently, the first wave of lower level i of 3 has been completed, and the downwards correction ii of 3 has ended. If the assumption is true, it is logical to expect the pair to rise to the levels of 111.40 and 112.60. The level of 109.35 is critical for this scenario.





Main scenario

Long positions will become relevant after corrections, above the level of 109.35 with a target in the range of 111.40-112.60. Term of realization: 7 days or more.

Alternative scenario

Breakdown of the level of 109.35 will allow the pair to continue the decline to the level of 108.81.

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AUD/USD: the instrument is trading mixed 02.07.2018

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offers the latest release of analytics on the AUD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

On Friday, AUD strengthened significantly against USD, partially balancing the decline at the beginning of last week.

The growth of the instrument was due mainly to technical factors, while macroeconomic statistics from Australia was ignored. New Home Sales (MoM) fell to –4.4% in April from –4.2% a month earlier. Private Sector Credit (YoY) fell to 4.8% in May from 5.1% a month earlier, and in monthly terms the indicator fell to 0.2% in May from 0.4% a month earlier.

Today, during the Asian session, the pair is trading downwards. Investors are not going to open new positions before RBA Interest Rate Decision will be published on Tuesday, July 3. June TD Securities Inflation and May Building Permits releases are expected today.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart, Bollinger bands are steadily declining. The price range is narrowing, reflecting the mixed nature of trading in the short term. MACD grows, keeping a weak buy signal (the histogram is above the signal line). Stochastic turned up after a confident decline at the beginning of last week.

According to the indications of technical indicators, it is better to open long positions in the short and super short term.

Resistance levels: 0.7409, 0.7442, 0.7474, 0.7500.
Support levels: 0.7384, 0.7355, 0.7322.





Trading tips

Long positions can be opened after the breakout of the level of 0.7409 with the targets at 0.7474 or 0.7500–0.7520 and stop loss 0.7370.

Short positions can be opened after the breakdown of the level of 0.7355 with the targets at 0.7322–0.7300 or 0.7270 and stop loss 0.7390.

Implementation period: 2–3 days.

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EUR/USD: wave analysis 04.07.2018

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offers the latest release of analytics on the EUR/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The pair can fall.

On the 4-hour chart, the downward momentum of the higher level is forming as a wave A of (2). Now the fifth wave of the lower level v of A is developing, within which the wave (iii) of v is forming. If the assumption is correct, the pair will fall to the levels of 1.1439–1.1320. The level of 1.1720 is critical and stop-loss for this scenario.





Main scenario

Short positions will become relevant during the correction, below the level of 1.1720 with the targets at 1.1439–1.1320. Implementation period: 5–7 days.

Alternative scenario

The breakout and the consolidation of the price above the level of 1.1720 will let the pair grow to the levels of 1.1850–1.1991.

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USD/CHF: the dollar is declining 09.07.2018

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offers the latest release of analytics on the USD/CHF for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

On Friday, USD fell against CHF, interrupting the flat dynamics of the middle of last week.

USD weakened due to the official start of the US-China trade war. On Friday, the US 25% tariffs on Chinese goods came into effect, totaling USD 34 billion. The US intends to introduce duties on another 284 items of Chinese goods worth a total of USD 16 billion in two weeks. The PRC authorities reported on the introduction of tit-for-tat measures and accused the US of violating the WTO rules. According to experts, the impact of tariffs on the Chinese economy will be noticeable in 3-6 months and may lead to a 0.2% decrease in its growth. The US administration warned that in the event of the conflict escalation, it could continue to expand duties and impose them on Chinese goods totaling more than USD 500 billion.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart, Bollinger bands fall. The price range narrows. MACD decreases, keeping a weak sell signal (the histogram is below the signal line), and tries to consolidate below the zero line. Stochastic is directed downwards but is quickly approaching its lows, indicating the oversold dollar in the near future.

Current indicators’ readings do not contradict the further development of the «bearish» trend in the short and/or ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 0.9888, 0.9910, 0.9940, 0.9963.

Support levels: 0.9853, 0.9820, 0.9800, 0.9786.





Trading tips

Long positions can be opened after a rebound from 0.9853 and breakout of 0.9888 with the targets at 0.9940–0.9963 and stop loss 0.9860–0.9850. Implementation period: 2–3 days.

Short positions can be opened after the breakdown of 0.9853 with the targets at 0.9820–0.9800 and stop loss 0.9870–0.9880. Implementation period: 1–2 days.

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AUD/USD: general analysis 13.07.2018

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offers the latest release of analytics on the AUD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Yesterday, the AUD/USD pair strengthened due to the news that China and the US could negotiate to resolve controversial trade issues.

The intention of Washington and Beijing to find a compromise is a good sign for Australian exporters since China is Australia's main trading partner. However, the fall in commodity prices has a negative impact on AUD. In addition, the recent US CPI correspond to the "hawkish" mood of the Fed and restrain the growth of the pair.

Today at 17:00 (GMT+2) Fed Monetary Policy Report will be published. Given the positive inflationary dynamics and positive data on a number of key macroeconomic indicators, investors expect the pair to fall on the last trading day of the current week.

Support and resistance

On the 4-hour chart, the pair tries to consolidate above the middle line of Bollinger bands. The indicator is turned sideways, the price range is unchanged, which reflects the development of the upward trend correction. MACD histogram is in the negative area, holding a weak sell signal. Stochastic has entered the overbought area, a strong sell signal can be formed in the next few hours.

Resistance levels: 0.7421, 0.7441, 0.7468, 0.7507, 0.7535.

Support levels: 0.7305, 0.7325, 0.7351, 0.7392.



Trading tips

Long positions can be opened above the level of 0.7425 with the targets at 0.7485, 0.7510 and stop loss 0.7390.
Short positions can be opened below the level of 0.7385 with the target at 0.7345 and stop loss 0.7405.

Implementation period: 1–2 days.

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USD/CHF: wave analysis 16.07.2018

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offers the latest release of analytics on the USD/CHF for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The pair can grow.

On the 4-hour chart, the upward momentum is developing as a first wave of the higher level 1 of (3). Now the fifth wave v of 1 is developing, within which the wave (iii) of v of the lower level is developing as a momentum. If the assumption is correct, the pair will grow to the levels of 1.0100–1.0190. The level of 0.9945 is critical and stop-loss for this scenario.

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[IMG2=JSON]{"data-align":"none","data-size":"full","src":"http:\/\/businesspr-finance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/chf16072018-1.png"}[/IMG2]

Main scenario

Long positions will become relevant during the correction, above the level of 0.9945 with the targets at 1.0100–1.0190. Implementation period: 5–7 days.

Alternative scenario

The breakdown and the consolidation of the price below the level of 0.9945 will let the pair go down to the levels of 0.9819–0.9745.


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Antony_NPBFX

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EUR/USD: euro falls again 18.07.2018

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offers the latest release of analytics on the EUR/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Yesterday, EUR fell against USD, stepping off the renewed highs since July 11.

Yesterday, the International Monetary Fund has published a forecast on the growth of the economy of the leading countries. In the current year, the EU's GDP may grow by 2.2% instead of previously expected 2.4% due to growing world trade tension and Brexit uncertainty. However, the EU leadership is trying to develop mutually beneficial free trade: on Monday, a major corresponding agreement between the EU and Japan was signed. According to the document, which should enter into force in March 2019, Japan should abolish duties on 94% of goods produced in the EU, and the European Union – similar duties for 99% of Japanese goods.

On Wednesday, June EU inflation data will be published. MoM indicators are expected to decrease significantly: the Consumer Price Index – from 0.5% to 0.1%, and the Base Consumer Price Index – from 0.3% to 0.1%. YoY values will remain unchanged. CPI will be 2.0%, and the Base CPI – 1.0%.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart Bollinger bands move flat. The price range tries to consolidate. MACD decreases, keeping a sell signal (the histogram is below the signal line). Stochastic unfolds down after a brief growth, reacting to the "bearish" Tuesday’s trade.

It is better to open short positions in the short and/or ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 1.1689, 1.1718, 1.1743, 1.1800.
Support levels: 1.1647, 1.1600, 1.1541, 1.1500.





Trading tips

Long positions can be opened after a rebound from 1.1647 and breakout of 1.1670–1.1689 with the targets at 1.1743–1.1750 or 1.1775–1.1800. Implementation period: 2–3 days.

Short positions can be opened after the breakdown of the level of 1.1647 with the target of 1.1600 or 1.1575 and stop loss 1.1689. Implementation period: 1–2 days.

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NZD/USD: the pair shows ambiguous dynamics 20.07.2018

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offers the latest release of analytics on the NZD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

NZD declined against USD on Thursday, returning to local lows of the beginning of the week.

USD was supported by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, who spoke on Wednesday at the Financial Services Committee of the House of Representatives of the US Congress, and by the Beige Book data. Powell noted that now the balance of the Fed reaches 4.5 trillion dollars, however, the program of bonds redemption proved its effectiveness, and there is no reason to drastically reduce the purchase yet. The process of normalizing the balance can take up to four years. As for the key US economic problems, he named the growth rates of public debt, exceeding the growth of GDP. In general, investors remain confident that the US regulator will raise interest rates this year two more times.

Published on Wednesday evening, Fed's Beige Book reflected a moderate economic growth in 10 of the 12 US regions, which gave investors the hope of continued sustainable economic growth in the US, even in the face of growing trade disputes.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart grow insignificantly. The price range narrows, reflecting ambiguous trading dynamics. MACD reverses downwards forming a new sell signal (located below the signal line). Stochastic reversed downwards after an increase earlier this week.

Current technical indicators remain uninformative. One should wait for clarification of the situation.

Resistance levels: 0.6760, 0.6788, 0.6824, 0.6857.
Support levels: 0.6712, 0.6686, 0.6650.





Trading tips

To open long positions, one can rely on the breakout of 0.6760. Take profit — 0.6824 or 0.6857, 0.6880. Stop loss — 0.6720.

The return of "bearish" trend with the breakdown of 0.6712 or 0.6700 may become a signal for new sales with the target at 0.6650. Stop loss — 0.6730 or 0.6740.

Implementation period: 2-3 days.

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USD/CAD: wave analysis 23.07.2018

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offers the latest release of analytics on the USD/CAD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The pair is in a correction, the fall is possible.

On the 4-hour chart, the fifth wave of the higher level v of 1 is developing. Now the local correction is forming as a fourth wave (iv) of v, within which the wave c of (iv) is developing. If the assumption is correct, the pair will fall to the level of 1.2987. The level of 1.3291 is critical and stop loss for this scenario.





Main scenario

Short positions will become relevant during the correction, below the level of 1.3291 with the target at 1.2987. Implementation period: 5–7 days.

Alternative scenario

The breakout and the consolidation of the price above the level of 1.3291 will let the pair grow to the levels of 1.3500–1.3600.

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If you just recently started to be interested in trading on FOREX and would like to deepen your knowledge, an electronic Beginner's Guide to FOREX Trading will be an excellent helper for you here. The book consists of 5 chapters and reflects fundamental concepts of the foreign exchange market to start successful trading. From the main chapters of the E-book you can learn about the concepts and history of FOREX, currencies and trend lines, technical indicators, types of orders, trading on news, psychology of trading, risk management and much more.

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XAU/USD: mixed dynamics 25.07.2018

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offers the latest release of analytics on the XAU/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Yesterday, gold price did not change much due to the mixed dynamics of the US currency, caused by a contradictory fundamental background. The precious metal was moderately supported by the news about China's economic stimulus, as this country remains one of its main importers.

Today, the pair moves horizontally, and investors are waiting for the new drivers on the market. On Wednesday, US June New Homes Sales data will be published. After an increase by 6.7% MoM in the previous month, the indicator can decrease by 2.8% MoM. The main event of the week is Friday's US GDP Annualized release. According to preliminary forecasts, US Q2 economy accelerated from 2% to 4%.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart, Bollinger bands are steadily declining. The price range narrows from below, reflecting mixed trade moods. MACD indicator is growing, keeping a weak buy signal (the histogram is above the signal line). Stochastic reversed horizontally, reacting to Tuesday’s flat.

At the moment, technical indicators do not contradict the development of corrective growth of the instrument in the short term.

Resistance levels: 1230.00, 1237.60, 1245.61, 1250.96.
Support levels: 1220.73, 1215.33, 1211.14, 1200.00.





Trading tips

Long positions can be opened after the breakout of the level of 1230.00 with the target of 1245.61 and stop loss 1220.73.

Short positions can be opened after the breakdown of the level of 1220.73 or 1215.33 with the target at 1200.00. Stop loss is 1225.00 or 1230.00.

Implementation period: 2–3 days.

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AUD/USD: wave analysis 27.07.2018

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offers the latest release of analytics on the AUD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The pair can grow.

On the 4-hour chart, the downward trend has formed as a first wave 1 of (5) of the higher level, and the development of the upward correction 2 of (5) has begun. Now the wave w of 2 is developing as a flat (a)(b)(c), within which the wave (c) of w is forming. If the assumption is correct, the pair will grow to the level of 0.7540. The level of 0.7318 is critical and stop loss for this scenario.





Main scenario

Long positions will become relevant during the correction, above the level of 0.7318 with the target at 0.7540. Implementation period: 7 days and more.

Alternative scenario

The breakdown and the consolidation of the price below the level of 0.7318 will let the pair go down to the level of 0.7250.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: E-book

If you just recently started to be interested in trading on FOREX and would like to deepen your knowledge, an electronic Beginner's Guide to FOREX Trading will be an excellent helper for you here. The book consists of 5 chapters and reflects fundamental concepts of the foreign exchange market to start successful trading. From the main chapters of the E-book you can learn about the concepts and history of FOREX, currencies and trend lines, technical indicators, types of orders, trading on news, psychology of trading, risk management and much more.

You can read a Beginner's guide to FOREX Trading online or download it free of charge from the NPBFX analytical portal in the "Education" section. In order to get unlimited access to the E-book and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

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XAG/USD: ambiguous dynamics 30.07.2018

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offers the latest release of analytics on the XAG/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

On Friday, silver prices rose, as the US dollar did not receive the expected support from published Q2 GDP data. However, further growth of the instrument was prevented by positive news around the process of negotiations between the US and Europe.

The speech of US Treasury Secretary Stephen Mnuchin, published on Sunday, supported USD additionally. He said that the US economy would continue to grow for several years more. In addition, the minister did not focus on the problem of the high exchange rate of the national currency, as President Donald Trump recently did.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart, Bollinger bands are steadily declining. The price range is narrowing, reflecting a rather sharp change in the trade direction in the medium term. MACD grows, keeping a weak buy signal (the histogram is above the signal line). Stochastic did not react to the emergence of "bullish" dynamics at the end of the last trading week and is still directed downward, rapidly approaching its lows.

It is better to wait until the situation is clear and keep some of the short positions in the short and medium term for some time.

Resistance levels: 15.46, 15.60, 15.83, 16.00.

Support levels: 15.30, 15.24, 15.09.





Trading tips

Long positions can be opened after the breakdown of the level of 15.46 with the targets at 15.75–15.83 and stop loss 15.30. Implementation period: 2–3 days.

Short positions can be opened after a breakdown of the level of 15.24 with targets of 15.09–15.00 and stop loss 15.30. Implementation period: 1–2 days.

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USD/CHF: wave analysis 01.08.2018

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offers the latest release of analytics on the USD/CHF for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The pair can grow.

On the 4-hour chart, the fifth wave v of 1 is developing as a diagonal triangle. Now the local correction (iv) of v has formed. If the assumption is correct, the development of the wave (v) of v begins, within which the pair will grow to the levels of 1.0070–1.0115. The level of 0.9865 is critical and stop-loss for this scenario.





Main scenario

Long positions will become relevant during the correction, above the level of 0.9865 with the targets at 1.0070–1.0115. Implementation period: 5–7 days.

Alternative scenario

The breakdown and the consolidation of the price below the level of 0.9865 will let the pair go down to the levels of 0.9745–0.9670.

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Regular monitoring of global economic indicators plays an important role in trading, because of their strong influence on FOREX market and possibility to provoke significant price fluctuations. For the convenience of traders the "Education" section on the NPBFX portal contains the most popular and significant world economic indices with a detailed description, their possible impact on the economy and exchange rates (GDP, consumer price index, unemployment rate, Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), etc.).

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USD/CAD: wave analysis 03.08.2018

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offers the latest release of analytics on the USD/CAD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The pair can grow.

On the 4-hour chart, the fifth wave of the higher level v of 1 develops. Now the local correction has formed as a fourth wave (iv) of v. If the assumption is correct, the pair may grow to the level of 1.3500 within the wave (v) of v. The level of 1.2970 is critical and stop-loss for this scenario.





Main scenario

Long positions will become relevant above the level of 1.2970 with the target at 1.3500. Implementation period: 5–7 days.

Alternative scenario

The breakdown and the consolidation of the price below the level of 1.2970 will let the pair go down to the level of 1.2740.

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AUD/USD: wave analysis 06.08.2018

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offers the latest release of analytics on the AUD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The pair can grow.

On the 4-hour chart, the upward correction of the higher level is developing as a wave 2 of (5). Now the wave w of 2 is developing as a flat (a)(b)(c), within which the wave (c) of w is forming. If the assumption is correct, the pair will grow to the level of 0.7540. The level of 0.7347 is critical and stop loss for this scenario.





Main scenario

Long positions will become relevant during the correction, above the level of 0.7347 with the target at 0.7540. Implementation period: 7 days and more.

Alternative scenario

The breakdown and the consolidation of the price below the level of 0.7347 will let the pair go down to the level of 0.7250.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: glossary

Beginning traders certainly face a lot of specialized concepts and lexicon on FOREX, which are often not fully been understood. Swap, tick, hedge, margin calls are often unfamiliar to beginning traders. But the lack of knowledge of these fundamentals make a competent market vision impossible. So glossary on the NPBFX analytical portal could be an excellent helper in this case, which contains all the main definitions with explanations in a compact and accessible form. All concepts are arranged in alphabetical order, so that you can easily and quickly find and explore a new concept for yourself.

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USD/JPY: wave analysis 08.08.2018

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offers the latest release of analytics on the USD/JPY for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The correction is continuing, the price can fall.

On the 4-hour chart, the correction of the higher level as a wave 2 of (C) is forming, taking a shape of an irregular flat. Now the wave c of 2 is forming, within which the wave (ii) of c has ended, and the wave (iii) of c is developing. If the assumption is correct, the pair will fall to the level of 109.35. The level of 112.14 is critical and stop loss for this scenario.





Main scenario

Short positions will become relevant during the correction, below the level of 112.14 with the target at 109.35. Implementation period: 5–7 days.

Alternative scenario

The breakout and the consolidation of the price above the level of 112.14 will let the pair grow to the level of 113.22.

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EUR/USD: wave analysis 10.08.2018

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offers the latest release of analytics on the EUR/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The trend is downward.

On the 4-hour chart, the downward momentum of the higher level A of (2) forms. Now the fifth wave v of A is developing, within which the correction of the lower level has formed as a wave (ii) of v, and the wave (iii) of v is developing. If the assumption is correct, the pair will fall to the level of 1.1439. The level of 1.1621 is critical and stop loss for this scenario.





Main scenario

Short positions will become relevant during the correction, below the level of 1.1621 with the target at 1.1439. Implementation period: 5–7 days.

Alternative scenario

The breakout and the consolidation of the price above the level of 1.1621 will let the pair grow to the level of 1.1745.

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Make right trade decisions on sell or buy EUR/USD and other popular instruments using trading signals on the NPBFX portal. All registered users have free access to signals from the top 10 trading indicators (MA10, BBands, Ichimoku, Stochastic, ZigZag, etc.) with also general recommendations on the portal.

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NZD/USD: the pair remains under pressure 13.08.2018

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offers the latest release of analytics on the NZD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The pair finished last week with a steady decline, having updated its record low of March 2016.

US July inflation data were ambiguous. Instead of the expected growth, CPI stayed at the level of 2.9%, and the base CPI rose from 2.3% to 2.4%, which keeps investors confident that the Fed will increase the interest rate two times this year, the nearest growth may be in September.

As for the trade war news, China refused to imply increased taxes on the US crude oil supply. Probably, there is nothing to compensate for its PRC yet. However, the increase in tariffs will affect imported from the US diesel fuel, gasoline and propane.

Friday stats from New Zealand failed to provide tangible support. In particular, the index of business activity in the manufacturing sector in July fell from 52.7 to 51.2 points.

Support and resistance

Bollinger bands on the daily chart are directed downwards. The price range is expanding in the lower part, but not as fast as the development of the "bearish" dynamics.

The MACD indicator decreases, keeping the sell signal (the histogram is located below the signal line).

Stochastic turned sideways in the oversold zone, which indicates the possibility of a corrective growth.

Resistance levels: 0.6600, 0.6622, 0.6650, 0.6686.

Support levels: 0.6560, 0.6534, 0.6500.





Trading tips

To open long positions, you can rely on the breakout of the level of 0.6600. Take profit – 0.6686 or 0.6712. Stop loss – 0.6550. Term of realization: 2-3 days.

A confident breakdown of 0.6560 can be a signal for further sales with targets of 0.6500 and 0.6480. The stop loss is 0.6600. Term of realization: 2-3 days.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: e-book

If you just recently started to be interested in trading on FOREX and would like to deepen your knowledge, an electronic Beginner's Guide to FOREX Trading will be an excellent helper for you here. The book consists of 5 chapters and reflects fundamental concepts of the foreign exchange market to start successful trading. From the main chapters of the E-book you can learn about the concepts and history of FOREX, currencies and trend lines, technical indicators, types of orders, trading on news, psychology of trading, risk management and much more.

You can read a Beginner's guide to FOREX Trading online or download it free of charge from the NPBFX analytical portal in the "Education" section. In order to get unlimited access to the E-book and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

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AUD/USD: the pair declines 15.08.2018

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offers the latest release of analytics on the AUD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Yesterday, AUD fell against USD, developing a downward trend and updating the lows since early 2017.

Today, the instrument is under pressure of poor macroeconomic data from China. In particular, the Retail Sales in July rose by 8.8% YoY, which is by 0.2% worse than analysts' expectations. Industrial Production in July maintained its previous growth rate of +6.0% YoY, while the market expected the index to accelerate to 6.3% YoY.

The pair continues to fall, and investors are waiting for July Australian labor market releases on Thursday. The "bearish" dynamic is supported by Westpac Consumer Confidence, which fell by 2.3% in August after growing by 3.9% last month.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart, Bollinger bands are steadily declining. The price range is expanding, but not as fast as the "bearish" trend is developing. MACD indicator decreases, keeping a strong sell signal (the histogram is below the signal line). Stochastic is pointing down, but is approaching its lows, which indicates the that the instrument is oversold.

At the moment, the indicators’ readings do not contradict the development of the "bearish" trend in the short term, but a corrective growth is possible in the next few days.

Resistance levels: 0.7222, 0.7260, 0.7290, 0.7322.

Support levels: 0.7200, 0.7175, 0.7159.





Trading tips

Long positions can be opened after the rebound from the level of 0.7200 and breakout of the levels of 0.7222–0.7230 with the target at 0.7290 or 0.7322. Stop loss is 0.7200–0.7180.

Short positions can be opened after the breakdown of the level of 0.7200 with the targets at 0.7159 or 0.7130–0.7120 and stop loss 0.7240–0.7250.

Implementation period: 2–3 days.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: glossary

Beginning traders certainly face a lot of specialized concepts and lexicon on FOREX, which are often not fully been understood. Swap, tick, hedge, margin calls are often unfamiliar to beginning traders. But the lack of knowledge of these fundamentals make a competent market vision impossible. So glossary on the NPBFX analytical portal could be an excellent helper in this case, which contains all the main definitions with explanations in a compact and accessible form. All concepts are arranged in alphabetical order, so that you can easily and quickly find and explore a new concept for yourself.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

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